Nuggets vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 14

  • The Nuggets are -4.5 favorites vs. the Mavericks
  • Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | KFAA | truTV | Max

The Denver Nuggets visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Mavericks Over/Under is 234.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 18-19 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 19-19 against the spread.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Nuggets vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-3.5 -110O 234.5 -110-160
Dallas Mavericks +3.5 -110U 234.5 -110+135

Mavericks vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Tuesday‘s game with 77.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Mavericks.

Mavericks vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 66.6% confidence.


Bet now on Mavericks vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+11.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.10 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 43 games at home (+18.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 50 of their last 80 games (+17.53 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 48 games at home (+16.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 55 of their last 94 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 42 games at home (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 18-19 (-2.9 Units / -6.94% ROI).

  • 23-15 against the Moneyline (-3.4 Units / -3.73% ROI)
  • 24-14 against the Over for game total points (+8.6 Units / 20.57% ROI)
  • 14-24 against the Under for game total points (-12.4 Units / -29.67% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 19-19 (-1.9 Units / -4.43% ROI).

  • 22-17 against the Moneyline (+0.45 Units / 0.46% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -6.99% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.1% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 41 games at home (-32.75 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-31.52 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 100 games (-23.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 89 games (-21.90 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 42 games at home (-19.27 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 82 games (-38.80 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 91 games (-31.95 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 53 games (-31.95 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 20 of their last 60 games (-26.30 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 41 away games (-24.46 Units / -40% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Nuggets are 35-12 (.745) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

The Nuggets were 26-9 (.743) when they win the turnover margin last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Nuggets were 33-5 (.868) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Nuggets are 55-12 (.821) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .570

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Mavericks are 30-17 (.638) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Mavericks were 20-10 (.667) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Mavericks were 20-10 (.667) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (149 assists/ 51 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 10.4 fast break points per game (397 points/38 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Nuggets have averaged 20.2 fast break points per game (769 points/38 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (1,863 assists/ 786 TOs) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks have averaged 6.2 turnovers per game (752 turnovers/121 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks averaged 12.7 turnovers per game (1,045 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (322 blocks/60 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (1,411 rebounds/39 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Mavericks averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,285 steals/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Mavericks averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,951 rebounds/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


Bet now on Mavericks vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.