Nuggets vs Raptors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Nuggets are -8.5 favorites vs. the Raptors
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on AL2 | TSN

The Denver Nuggets visit Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Nuggets vs Raptors Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 0-2 against the spread, while the Raptors are 2-1 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Raptors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets-8.5 -115O 222.5 -110-400
Toronto Raptors +8.5 -105U 222.5 -110+310

Raptors vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Raptors.

Raptors vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Raptors will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 61.4% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+13.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 86 games (+12.65 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 54 of their last 94 games (+11.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 80 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 41 away games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the Game Total Over in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games at home (+6.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games (+6.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games at home (+5.35 Units / 14% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Nuggets have gone 0-2 (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-2 against the Moneyline (-4.5 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 0-2 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI)
  • 2-0 against the Under for game total points (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA preseason, the Raptors have gone 2-1 (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 1-2 against the Moneyline (-0.2 Units / -6.67% ROI)
  • 2-1 against the Over for game total points (+0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 1-2 against the Under for game total points (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 83 games (-31.25 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 80 games (-23.90 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 83 games (-18.40 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Toronto Raptors have only covered the Spread in 9 of their last 33 games at home (-17.40 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 94 games (-25.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 86 games (-25.00 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 94 games (-21.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 67 games (-21.10 Units / -12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 88 games (-20.50 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Toronto Raptors

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets were 27-5 (.844) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 4th-best in the NBA. The Raptors allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three last season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Nuggets were 24-7 (.774) when they win the turnover margin last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .540

The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

Toronto Raptors: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Raptors were undefeated (8-0) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .700

The Raptors were 2-15 (.118) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Raptors were 10-39 (.204) when losing the rebounding margin last season — 7th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets averaged 52.4 rebounds/game last season — 7th-highest in the NBA.

The Raptors were 6-8 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Injury Report: Raptors vs. NuggetsMonday‘s Game, Oct. 28

  • Toronto Raptors – No Injuries Reported
  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Toronto Raptors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors have averaged 18.2 fast break points per game (3,047 points/167 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Raptors have averaged 8.6 fast break points per game (1,440 points/167 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

The Raptors averaged 5.8 turnovers per game (476 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Raptors averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (956 turnovers/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams

Toronto Raptors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Raptors averaged 9.4 steals per game (772 steals/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Raptors averaged 31.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,615 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Raptors stole the ball 772 times last season — most among NBA teams

The Raptors have averaged 8.8 steals per game (741 steals/84 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.