- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Denver Nuggets visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 37-43 against the spread, while the Rockets are 43-38 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | O | ||
Houston Rockets | U |
Rockets vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Rockets.
Rockets vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 64.8% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 79 games (+18.75 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.20 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 46 of their last 79 games (+10.15 Units / 11% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 25 games (+18.60 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 games (+16.97 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 80 games (+15.88 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+10.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 37-43 (-10.3 Units / -11.56% ROI).
- 49-32 against the Moneyline (-0.7 Units / -0.29% ROI)
- 48-33 against the Over for game total points (+11.7 Units / 13.13% ROI)
- 33-48 against the Under for game total points (-19.8 Units / -22.22% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 43-38 (+1.2 Units / 1.35% ROI).
- 52-29 against the Moneyline (-2.2 Units / -1.04% ROI)
- 43-37 against the Over for game total points (+2.3 Units / 2.58% ROI)
- 37-43 against the Under for game total points (-10.2 Units / -11.46% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.80 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 66 games (-19.05 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 30 games at home (-18.80 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 17 of their last 48 games (-17.50 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 69 games (-17.25 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 79 games (-30.35 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 37 of their last 93 games (-26.45 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 39 of their last 94 games (-22.75 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 79 games (-21.80 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 93 games (-21.20 Units / -13% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Nuggets are 30-8 (.789) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Nuggets are 11-2 (.846) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .624
The Nuggets are 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .613
The Nuggets are 1-6 (.143) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .376
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Rockets are 38-11 (.776) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 116.9 points per game this season — 7th-worst in the NBA.
The Rockets were winless (0-14) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .142
The Rockets are 20-5 (.800) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .648
The Rockets are 21-8 (.724) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.1 fast break points per game (901 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 59.2 points in the paint per game (2,370 points/40 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.7
The Nuggets have averaged 31.0 points in the paint per game (2,508 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
The Nuggets have averaged 20.0 fast break points per game (1,624 points/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have an eFG% of 46% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have averaged 22.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,823 rebounds/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Rockets are shooting 41% (409/1,011) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,992 rebounds/81 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,927 rebounds/81 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets allowed 11.7 fast break points per game (958 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.4
The Rockets have averaged 8.4 steals per game (684 steals/81 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Rockets have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,323 steals/163 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
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