- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on SCHN | ALT | KTVD
The Denver Nuggets visit Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Houston, TX, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Nuggets vs Rockets Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 33-37 against the spread, while the Rockets are 39-32 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | O | ||
Houston Rockets | U |
Rockets vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Rockets will win Sunday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Rockets.
Rockets vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.
Bet now on Rockets vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 69 games (+19.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 37 games (+11.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+8.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Rockets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 81 games (+16.03 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 44 of their last 70 games (+14.87 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have covered the 1Q Spread in 46 of their last 77 games (+11.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 33-37 (-7.7 Units / -9.86% ROI).
- 44-27 against the Moneyline (+0.1 Units / 0.05% ROI)
- 42-29 against the Over for game total points (+10.1 Units / 12.93% ROI)
- 29-42 against the Under for game total points (-17.2 Units / -22.02% ROI)
Houston Rockets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Rockets have gone 39-32 (+3.8 Units / 4.87% ROI).
- 46-25 against the Moneyline (-4.1 Units / -2.3% ROI)
- 36-34 against the Over for game total points (-1.4 Units / -1.79% ROI)
- 34-36 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.05% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Rockets:
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games at home (-25.25 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 78 games (-18.80 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 77 games (-17.95 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 22 games at home (-17.15 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Houston Rockets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 38 games (-16.85 Units / -38% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 69 games (-29.60 Units / -37% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 86 games (-28.50 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 93 games (-23.35 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-21.10 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 47 away games (-19.31 Units / -28% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Houston Rockets
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Houston Rockets
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Houston Rockets Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Houston Rockets Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Rockets
The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
The Nuggets were 12-3 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets were 50-8 (.862) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
Houston Rockets: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Rockets are 1-16 (.059) when losing the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .243
The Rockets are 38-23 (.623) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .506
The Rockets are 15-2 (.882) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed opponents to shoot 36% from three this season — 8th-worst in the NBA.
The Rockets are 11-1 (.917) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .750
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 11.0 fast break points per game (780 points/71 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Nuggets have averaged 59.8 points in the paint per game (2,214 points/37 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6
The Nuggets have averaged 19.9 fast break points per game (738 points/37 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Nuggets have averaged 20.1 fast break points per game (1,425 points/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Houston Rockets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 22.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,617 rebounds/71 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.1
The Rockets have a TS% of 44% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 49%
The Rockets have an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Rockets have 1,617 offensive rebounds this season — most among NBA teams
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,604 rebounds/71 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams
Houston Rockets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,571 rebounds/71 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Rockets averaged 4.6 blocks per game (374 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Rockets stole the ball 639 times last season — 8th most among NBA teams
The Rockets have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (5,545 rebounds/153 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
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