Nuggets vs Spurs Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

• The Spurs are -10.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
• Total (Over/Under): 232.5 points
• Watch the game on ALT | KTVD | FDSW | ESPN

The Denver Nuggets visit Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 pm in San Antonio, TX.

The Spurs are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).

The Nuggets vs Spurs Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 43-38 against the spread, while the Spurs are 47-34 against the spread.

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Nuggets vs. Spurs Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

Spurs vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Spurs will win Sunday‘s game with 66.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Spurs.

Spurs vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 63.7% confidence.

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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:

• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 45 away games (+17.73 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 away games (+14.15 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 22 of their last 30 away games (+12.80 Units / 37% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games (+12.40 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 21 of their last 30 away games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)

Spurs Best Bets for Tonight:

• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 35 games (+25.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the 1H Spread in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+14.45 Units / 15% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have hit the 1H Moneyline in 24 of their last 30 games (+13.60 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have covered the Spread in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)

Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 43-38 (+1.2 Units / 1.35% ROI).

• 53-28 against the Moneyline (+6.15 Units / 2.11% ROI)
• 51-30 against the Over for game total points (+18.03 Units / 20.24% ROI)
• 30-51 against the Under for game total points (-26.1 Units / -29.27% ROI)

San Antonio Spurs Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Spurs have gone 47-34 (+9.6 Units / 10.77% ROI).

• 62-19 against the Moneyline (+36.3 Units / 11.66% ROI)
• 34-46 against the Over for game total points (-16.6 Units / -18.63% ROI)
• 46-34 against the Under for game total points (+8.6 Units / 9.65% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Spurs:

• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 45 games (-15.25 Units / -29% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 2H Game Total Over in 20 of their last 50 games (-14.79 Units / -26% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.00 Units / -25% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 35 games (-13.75 Units / -35% ROI)
• The San Antonio Spurs have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 30 games (-11.10 Units / -32% ROI)

Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:

• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (-30.45 Units / -25% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 45 away games (-22.20 Units / -45% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 40 away games (-20.00 Units / -44% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 8 of their last 30 away games (-17.15 Units / -50% ROI)
• The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 30 away games (-14.70 Units / -43% ROI)

Jump to:

• Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
• Keys to Winning for the San Antonio Spurs
• Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs
• Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Offensive stats
• Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
• San Antonio Spurs Defensive stats

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the San Antonio Spurs

The Nuggets are winless (0-14) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .084

The Nuggets are 19-14 (.576) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .459

The Nuggets are 38-7 (.844) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .619

The Nuggets are 34-13 (.723) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

San Antonio Spurs: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Spurs are 13-2 (.867) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .398

The Spurs are 55-18 (.753) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .497

The Spurs are 43-6 (.878) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Spurs are 33-8 (.805) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 41% from three (562/1,383) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets are shooting 40% from three (1,150/2,904) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (1,214 assists/ 513 TOs) at home this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets have averaged 1.39 points per shot (9,882 points/7,096 shots) this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

San Antonio Spurs Offensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 62.3 points per game (5,046 points/81 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 58.1

The Spurs have an eFG% of 56% this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Spurs have a TS% of 52% this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Spurs have averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (1,094 turnovers/81 games) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 6.9 steals per game (556 steals/81 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Nuggets have averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (6,030 rebounds/163 games) since the start of the 2024-25 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Nuggets have averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (8,976 rebounds/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Nuggets have forced 11.8 turnovers per game (957 turnovers/81 games) this season — lowest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.5

San Antonio Spurs Defensive Stats & Trends

The Spurs have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,092 rebounds/81 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34.8

The Spurs have averaged 7.6 steals per game (612 steals/81 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Spurs have blocked 1,416 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd most among NBA teams

The Spurs have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (8,901 rebounds/245 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

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