Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 5

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 05, 2023, 4:30 PM
  • The Timberwolves (28-27) are -2.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets (37-16)
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Sunday, February 5, 2023 at 7:00pm EST
  • Watch the game on BSN & ALT

The Denver Nuggets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Minneapolis.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 226.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 28-24 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 26-29 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+7.5 -110O 226.5 -110+230
Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 -110U 226.5 -110-300

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Sunday‘s game with 53.6% confidence.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.

These predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Nuggets and Timberwolves, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups over the last several NBA games.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 49 games (+21.46 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 52 games (+17.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.09 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 87 games (+10.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 1Q Spread in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 61 games (+16.64 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 48 of their last 79 games (+13.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 47 of their last 79 games (+12.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 28-24 (+1.6 Units / 2.74% ROI).

  • 37-16 against the Moneyline (+14.35 Units / 10.07% ROI)
  • 26-27 against the Over for game total points (-3.7 Units / -6.35% ROI)
  • 27-26 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -2.74% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 26-29 (-5.9 Units / -9.74% ROI).

  • 28-27 against the Moneyline (-10.5 Units / -10.59% ROI)
  • 25-30 against the Over for game total points (-8 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • 30-25 against the Under for game total points (+2.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 24 of their last 66 games (-33.09 Units / -36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 83 games (-26.34 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 69 games (-24.49 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 89 games (-21.46 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 72 games (-19.75 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 76 games (-30.30 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 79 games (-23.11 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-22.47 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 79 games (-20.03 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 88 games (-17.30 Units / -17% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Denver Nuggets are 15-1 (.938) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (688 turnovers/47 games) this season — tied for sixth-highest among NBA teams.

The Denver Nuggets are 35-6 (.854) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams. The New Orleans Pelicans have averaged 13.8 turnovers per game (1,777 turnovers/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for eighth-highest among NBA teams.

The Nuggets are 35-6 (.854) when they win the turnover margin since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .576

The Nuggets are 40-8 (.833) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .599

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves are 11-16 (.407) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .472

The Timberwolves are 43-48 (.473) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Timberwolves are 32-8 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Timberwolves are 40-55 (.421) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. NuggetsSunday‘s Game, Feb. 5

  • Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves): Towns is expected to miss 4-6 weeks with a right calf strain, according to Adrian Wojnarowki of ESPN.
  • Kyle Anderson (Timberwolves): Anderson is questionable for Sunday’s (Feb. 5) game against Denver
  • Jordan McLaughlin (Timberwolves): McLaughlin is questionable for Sunday’s (Feb. 5) game against Denver.
  • Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves): Gobert is QUESTIONABLE for Sunday’s (Feb. 5) game against Denver.
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Nuggets): Caldwell-Pope left Saturday’s (Feb. 4) game against Atlanta and is questionable to return
  • Jack White (Nuggets): White hasn’t played since Jan. 17 against Portland. A timetable for his return hasn’t been announced.
  • Collin Gillespie (Nuggets): Gillespie remains without a timetable to make his NBA debut, according to Katy Winge of Altitude Sports.

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets are shooting 42% from three (88/209) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 33%

The Nuggets have an eFG% of 58% in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,924/5,710) in the first half since the start of the 2021-22 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (4,579/8,970) in the first half since the start of the 2020-21 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 15.0 fast break points per game (1,952 points/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.0

The Timberwolves have an eFG% of 56% this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves have averaged 55.0 points in the paint per game (1,210 points/22 games) on the road this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.4

The Timberwolves have averaged 115.7 points per game (15,042 points/130 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 111.9

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (512 blocks/129 games) since the start of the 2021-22 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.2 blocks per game (835 blocks/201 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Nuggets have averaged 4.1 blocks per game (397 blocks/98 games) on the road since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Nuggets have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (438 blocks/103 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves have averaged 8.7 steals per game (1,755 steals/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,535 rebounds/48 games) this season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 33.0

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.4 blocks per game (259 blocks/48 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (1,117 blocks/202 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.