Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 25

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC | ESPN+

The Denver Nuggets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST in Minneapolis, MN, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 23-20 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 17-25 against the spread.


Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
Minnesota Timberwolves U

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Saturday‘s game with 78.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 65.1% confidence.


Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+13.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 42 games (+12.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 60 of their last 95 games (+19.73 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+10.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 97 games (+9.54 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games at home (+9.43 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.55 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 23-20 (+1 Units / 2.07% ROI).

  • 28-16 against the Moneyline (+0.6 Units / 0.56% ROI)
  • 28-16 against the Over for game total points (+10.4 Units / 21.49% ROI)
  • 16-28 against the Under for game total points (-14.8 Units / -30.58% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 17-25 (-10.55 Units / -21.78% ROI).

  • 23-21 against the Moneyline (-14.8 Units / -13.62% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Over for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 22-22 against the Under for game total points (-2.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-23.25 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 54 games (-22.85 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the Spread in 13 of their last 47 games at home (-22.30 Units / -43% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 98 games (-19.50 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 88 games (-34.80 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 59 games (-30.80 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 93 games (-25.45 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 44 away games (-24.76 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 24 of their last 66 games (-24.55 Units / -32% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets are 46-13 (.780) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

The Nuggets are 0-11 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Timberwolves have allowed 107.1 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-best in the NBA.

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Nuggets are winless (0-11) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves are 35-22 (.614) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Timberwolves are 20-9 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .542

The Timberwolves are 18-12 (.600) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Timberwolves are 71-40 (.640) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .508

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.9 (150 assists/ 51 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Nuggets have averaged 20.0 fast break points per game (880 points/44 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5

The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,802 assists/ 1,242 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Nuggets have averaged 58.4 points in the paint per game (2,568 points/44 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves are shooting 38% from three (818/2,163) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves have averaged 19.6 points in the paint per game (862 points/44 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.3

The Timberwolves have 20.9 free throw attempts per game this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (4,589 rebounds/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets have averaged 37.3 defensive rebounds per game (1,643 rebounds/44 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (712/2,113) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (709 blocks/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (4,535 rebounds/126 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%


Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM


Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.