- The Timberwolves are -2.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
- Total (Over/Under): 204.5 points
- Watch the game on ESPN
The Denver Nuggets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 204.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 43-47 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 46-44 against the spread.
Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | +2.5 -115 | O 204.5 -105 | +110 |
Minnesota Timberwolves | -2.5 -105 | U 204.5 -115 | -130 |
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Thursday‘s game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 100 games (+18.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 100 games (+15.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 92 games (+14.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 57 of their last 98 games (+14.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+12.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Timberwolves Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 65 games (+16.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 61 of their last 88 games (+12.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 43-47 (-8.7 Units / -8.59% ROI).
- 64-28 against the Moneyline (+13.5 Units / 4.04% ROI)
- 38-52 against the Over for game total points (-19.2 Units / -18.96% ROI)
- 52-38 against the Under for game total points (+10.25 Units / 10.13% ROI)
Minnesota Timberwolves Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 46-44 (-2.5 Units / -2.49% ROI).
- 62-29 against the Moneyline (+11.1 Units / 3.68% ROI)
- 48-43 against the Over for game total points (+0.7 Units / 0.7% ROI)
- 43-48 against the Under for game total points (-9.8 Units / -9.79% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Timberwolves:
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 41 of their last 82 games (-30.95 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 84 games (-27.05 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 65 games (-26.00 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.60 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 38 games at home (-22.35 Units / -51% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-29.55 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 98 games (-25.95 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 100 games (-23.80 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 35 of their last 63 games (-17.30 Units / -10% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 49 away games (-17.25 Units / -31% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Minnesota Timberwolves
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves
Keys to the game – away
Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
Keys to the game – home
Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets – Thursday‘s Game, May 16
- Jaylen Clark (Minnesota Timberwolves): Achilles, Out For Season
- Collin Gillespie (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
- Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out For Season
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets had an eFG% of 58% in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves had a TS% of 52% last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Timberwolves averaged 14.9 offensive rebounds per game (1,222 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.3
The Timberwolves averaged 26.2 assists per game (2,145 assists/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3
The Timberwolves averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 35.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,822 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Nuggets have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets have averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.6
Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends
The Timberwolves have allowed an eFG% of 52% this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%
The Timberwolves have averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Timberwolves stole the ball 657 times last season — 5th most among NBA teams
The Timberwolves have averaged 7.9 steals per game (647 steals/82 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Bet now on Timberwolves vs Nuggets and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.