Nuggets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 1

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 01, 2024, 4:35 PM
  • The Timberwolves are -3.5 favorites vs. the Nuggets
  • Total (Over/Under): 219.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | ALT | FDN+

The Denver Nuggets visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-105).

The Nuggets vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 219.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 0-4 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 1-3 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets+4.5 -115O 219.5 -110+150
Minnesota Timberwolves -4.5 -105U 219.5 -110-185

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Friday‘s game with 74.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 54.4% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 77 games (+10.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 52 of their last 88 games (+10.35 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 away games (+10.25 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 48 of their last 82 games (+8.65 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 57 of their last 90 games (+20.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+16.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 55 of their last 96 games (+11.70 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+9.05 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 0-4 (-4.4 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 2-2 against the Moneyline (-2.5 Units / -24.75% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 2-2 against the Moneyline (-0.8 Units / -5.37% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 93 games (-35.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 76 games (-27.95 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 38 of their last 96 games (-25.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 39 of their last 95 games (-24.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 97 games (-23.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 36 of their last 69 games (-25.55 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 88 games (-23.00 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 94 games (-20.75 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 90 games (-19.10 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 90 games (-18.50 Units / -18% ROI)

Jump to:

Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Nuggets are 28-7 (.800) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .582

The Nuggets were 19-7 (.731) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Nuggets are 37-13 (.740) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Timberwolves were 17-23 (.425) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Timberwolves were 24-2 (.923) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Timberwolves were 13-4 (.765) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Timberwolves were 18-12 (.600) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

Injury Report: Timberwolves vs. NuggetsFriday‘s Game, Nov. 1

  • Minnesota Timberwolves – No Injuries Reported
  • Denver Nuggets – No Injuries Reported

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Nuggets averaged 29.9 assists per game (1,227 assists/41 games) at home last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 12.3 second chance points per game (1,011 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

The Timberwolves shot 38% from three (515/1,359) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Timberwolves had an eFG% of 56% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Timberwolves averaged 15.2 offensive rebounds per game (1,250 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets have allowed 11.3 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.6

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Nuggets have allowed 11.2 made three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.4

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 48% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Timberwolves allowed an eFG% of 50% at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 54%

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Timberwolves allowed opponents to shoot 45% (3,198/7,114) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.