- The Nuggets are -9.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
- Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
- Watch the game on ALT | RTNW
The Denver Nuggets visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Portland, OR.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 23-31 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 25-29 against the spread.
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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Denver Nuggets | -9.5 -110 | O 218.5 -110 | -450 |
Portland Trail Blazers | +9.5 -110 | U 218.5 -110 | +333 |
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Friday‘s game with 85.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Trail Blazers.
Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 63.1% confidence.
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Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 65 of their last 99 games (+27.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 89 games (+21.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 77 games (+19.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 84 games (+19.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.70 Units / 17% ROI)
Trail Blazers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games at home (+7.90 Units / 29% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 23-31 (-11.2 Units / -18.09% ROI).
- 37-19 against the Moneyline (+7.85 Units / 4.17% ROI)
- 20-35 against the Over for game total points (-18.5 Units / -30.06% ROI)
- 35-20 against the Under for game total points (+13 Units / 21.1% ROI)
Portland Trail Blazers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 25-29 (-6.75 Units / -11.42% ROI).
- 15-39 against the Moneyline (-1.3 Units / -2.26% ROI)
- 25-29 against the Over for game total points (-6.9 Units / -11.61% ROI)
- 29-25 against the Under for game total points (+1.55 Units / 2.61% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Trail Blazers:
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 53 games (-20.85 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 27 of their last 71 games (-19.35 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 55 games (-17.70 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 23 of their last 60 games (-17.60 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 34 games at home (-15.30 Units / -42% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 99 games (-38.15 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 89 games (-30.60 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 84 games (-27.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 2Q Spread in 24 of their last 69 games (-22.25 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 95 games (-21.10 Units / -19% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Keys to Winning for the Portland Trail Blazers
- Player Injuries for Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail Blazers
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
- Portland Trail Blazers Defensive stats
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers
The Nuggets were 15-3 (.833) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556
The Nuggets are 33-17 (.660) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .490
The Nuggets are 18-5 (.783) when they win the turnover margin this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .541
The Nuggets were 25-4 (.862) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702
Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Trail Blazers are winless (0-12) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .169
The Trail Blazers are 1-7 (.125) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .538
The Trail Blazers were 8-14 (.364) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Trail Blazers are 6-27 (.182) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 5th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have averaged 52.7 rebounds/game this season — 6th-highest in the NBA.
Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets – Friday‘s Game, Feb. 23
- Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
- Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
- Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
- Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
- Vlatko Cancar (Denver Nuggets): Knee, Out
- Hunter Tyson (Denver Nuggets): Finger, Out
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (Denver Nuggets): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
- Jamal Murray (Denver Nuggets): Lower Leg, Game Time Decision
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets shot 51% (1,831/3,563) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets shot 50% (3,574/7,088) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets shot 52% (1,889/3,652) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,127/6,157) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (633 assists/ 433 TOs) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (984/2,254) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%
The Trail Blazers have averaged 10.6 assists per game (551 assists/52 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.7
The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,179 assists/ 775 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 6.8 steals per game (365 steals/54 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Nuggets have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (303 blocks/66 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Nuggets have allowed 11.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.5
The Nuggets allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (933/2,711) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,663 rebounds/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1
The Trail Blazers averaged 33.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,738 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (4,401 rebounds/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Trail Blazers averaged 6.7 steals per game (553 steals/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
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