Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 21

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Denver Nuggets visit Moda Center to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR, OR, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Nuggets vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Nuggets are 33-36 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 40-29 against the spread.


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Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Denver Nuggets O
Portland Trail Blazers U

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Trail Blazers will win Friday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Nuggets and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 59.0% confidence.


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  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 45 of their last 68 games (+18.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 68 games (+11.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 36 games (+10.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 59 games (+21.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 82 games (+16.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 68 games (+15.91 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 41 games (+11.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have covered the Spread in 45 of their last 78 games (+10.85 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 33-36 (-6.6 Units / -8.57% ROI).

  • 44-26 against the Moneyline (+1.3 Units / 0.64% ROI)
  • 41-29 against the Over for game total points (+9.1 Units / 11.82% ROI)
  • 29-41 against the Under for game total points (-16.1 Units / -20.91% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 40-29 (+8.05 Units / 10.45% ROI).

  • 31-39 against the Moneyline (+19 Units / 23.79% ROI)
  • 33-36 against the Over for game total points (-6.6 Units / -8.57% ROI)
  • 36-33 against the Under for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.39% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 82 games (-29.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 77 games (-20.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 83 games (-19.62 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only covered the 1Q Spread in 26 of their last 67 games (-18.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 75 games (-17.80 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 85 games (-28.50 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 68 games (-28.45 Units / -37% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 38 of their last 92 games (-24.35 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 68 games (-19.48 Units / -25% ROI)

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Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Nuggets were 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Nuggets are 33-11 (.750) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .548

The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Nuggets are 27-7 (.794) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets

The Trail Blazers are 3-18 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — T-8th-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three this season — 4th-best in the NBA.

The Trail Blazers are 2-14 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .464

The Trail Blazers were 1-11 (.083) when their opponents turns the ball fewer than 10 times last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .424

The Trail Blazers are 5-36 (.122) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .307

Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 11.0 fast break points per game (771 points/70 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0

The Nuggets have averaged 60.3 points in the paint per game (2,172 points/36 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.6

The Nuggets have averaged 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,088 points/70 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48.9

The Nuggets are shooting 51% (3,192/6,312) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers had an eFG% of 50% in the first half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers shot 44% (1,554/3,549) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers averaged 1.19 points per shot (8,722 points/7,356 shots) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Nuggets have averaged 36.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,580 rebounds/70 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Nuggets averaged 5.6 blocks per game (457 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,668 rebounds/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (5,026 rebounds/152 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,358 rebounds/70 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Trail Blazers allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (85/325) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%


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