Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 23

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Bucks are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 222.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | BSWI | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 44-37 against the spread, while the Bucks are 36-46 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+1.5 -115O 224.5 -115-105
Milwaukee Bucks -1.5 -105U 224.5 -105-115

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Tuesday‘s game with 62.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Bucks will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 58.6% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 57 games (+20.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 31 away games (+14.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games (+11.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+7.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q Spread in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+12.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games at home (+11.40 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+10.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+10.00 Units / 34% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 44-37 (+3.3 Units / 3.57% ROI).

  • 47-37 against the Moneyline (-1.95 Units / -1.12% ROI)
  • 41-41 against the Over for game total points (-4.15 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 41-41 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -4.49% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 36-46 (-14.6 Units / -16.01% ROI).

  • 50-33 against the Moneyline (-41.2 Units / -14.19% ROI)
  • 41-42 against the Over for game total points (-5.2 Units / -5.7% ROI)
  • 42-41 against the Under for game total points (-3.1 Units / -3.4% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 85 games (-51.70 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 38 of their last 69 games (-26.40 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 57 games (-21.30 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 83 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 14 of their last 44 games at home (-19.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 57 games (-28.35 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-23.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-22.30 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.10 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 43 away games (-19.30 Units / -35% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers were 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pacers were 18-26 (.409) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers are 10-29 (.256) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 9th-worst in the NBA. The Bucks have made 14.5 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th-highest in the NBA.

The Pacers are 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bucks were 27-3 (.900) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Bucks were 47-8 (.855) when scoring 110 or more points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

The Bucks are 30-9 (.769) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.3 rebounds/game this season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.

The Bucks were 27-11 (.711) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Injury Report: Bucks vs. PacersTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 23

  • AJ Green (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Milwaukee Bucks): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Jaylin Galloway (Milwaukee Bucks): Ankle, Out For Season
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Shoulder, Out For Season

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers have averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,251 assists/41 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2

The Pacers have averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have a TS% of 54% this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 1.7 second chance points per game (102 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.7

The Bucks have averaged 1.44 points per shot (1,358 points/940 shots) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.32

The Bucks have averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks averaged 6.8 points in the paint per game (414 points/61 games) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (492 blocks/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Pacers have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,493 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 39.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,254 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (6,289 rebounds/164 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Bucks allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,679 points/3,854 shots) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31

The Bucks averaged 6.4 steals per game (521 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.