Pacers vs Bucks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 27

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on TNT | Max | FDWI | FDIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:30pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 37-44 against the spread, while the Bucks are 44-40 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers O
Milwaukee Bucks U

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Sunday‘s game with 77.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.

Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 61.0% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 60 games (+33.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 50 games (+24.99 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 50 games (+19.00 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+15.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 away games (+10.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 35 games at home (+15.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 games (+12.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the Spread in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 37-44 (-11.4 Units / -12.18% ROI).

  • 52-33 against the Moneyline (+17.4 Units / 7.48% ROI)
  • 43-38 against the Over for game total points (+1.2 Units / 1.28% ROI)
  • 38-43 against the Under for game total points (-9.3 Units / -9.95% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 44-40 (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 50-36 against the Moneyline (-5.55 Units / -2.73% ROI)
  • 44-41 against the Over for game total points (-1.1 Units / -1.16% ROI)
  • 41-44 against the Under for game total points (-7.4 Units / -7.82% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 88 games (-29.60 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-20.70 Units / -52% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 38 of their last 87 games (-18.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 37 of their last 88 games (-18.30 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 88 games (-18.10 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 77 games (-27.50 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 38 games (-24.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 98 games (-23.24 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 69 games (-18.95 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 37 of their last 88 games (-18.27 Units / -18% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks

The Pacers are 20-5 (.800) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Pacers are 20-2 (.909) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762

The Pacers were 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Pacers are 44-14 (.759) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Bucks are 26-10 (.722) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.5 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.

The Bucks are 15-9 (.625) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Bucks were 23-5 (.821) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

The Bucks were 15-10 (.600) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks have averaged 10.0 second chance points per game (400 points/40 games) on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Bucks have averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (947 points/82 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Bucks have averaged 14.0 offensive rebounds per game (1,146 rebounds/82 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0

The Bucks are shooting 39% from three (1,161/3,003) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pacers have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (929 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 5.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Bucks have averaged 6.9 steals per game (554 steals/80 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9

The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Bucks have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (3,072 rebounds/82 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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