- The Bucks are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
- Total (Over/Under): 235.5 points
- Watch the game on FDIN | FDWI | WTHR
The Indiana Pacers visit Fiserv Forum to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI, USA.
The Bucks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Pacers vs Bucks Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 29-33 against the spread, while the Bucks are 31-33 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Bucks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Indiana Pacers | +3.5 -110 | O 235.5 -115 | +135 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | -3.5 -110 | U 235.5 -105 | -165 |
Bucks vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Bucks will win Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Bucks.
Bucks vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 64.4% confidence.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 40 games (+20.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 games (+16.59 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+15.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games (+14.92 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Bucks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+11.52 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+8.85 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+8.65 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 29-33 (-7.3 Units / -10.2% ROI).
- 37-28 against the Moneyline (+3.8 Units / 2.74% ROI)
- 31-30 against the Over for game total points (-2 Units / -2.8% ROI)
- 30-31 against the Under for game total points (-4.1 Units / -5.73% ROI)
Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks have gone 31-33 (-5.3 Units / -7.3% ROI).
- 38-28 against the Moneyline (-11.95 Units / -7.52% ROI)
- 33-33 against the Over for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
- 33-33 against the Under for game total points (-3.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Bucks:
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 83 games (-46.60 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-27.40 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 29 of their last 71 games (-21.50 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 84 games (-20.25 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Bucks have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 67 games (-18.53 Units / -21% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-24.40 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 57 games (-23.80 Units / -36% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 88 games (-21.45 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.34 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 94 games (-18.27 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Milwaukee Bucks
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Milwaukee Bucks Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Milwaukee Bucks
The Pacers are 41-13 (.759) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .636
The Pacers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .091
The Pacers are 45-14 (.763) when shooting 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .691
The Pacers are 5-11 (.312) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .390
Milwaukee Bucks: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Bucks are 22-10 (.688) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 48.8 rebounds/game this season — 2nd-lowest in the NBA.
The Bucks are 52-8 (.867) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 49% since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.
The Bucks were 28-9 (.757) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
The Bucks are 78-30 (.722) when scoring 110 or more points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed 118.0 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-worst in the NBA.
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pacers had a TS% of 54% last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
The Pacers averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,251 assists/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.2
Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks averaged 1.39 points per shot (4,829 points/3,483 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.31
The Bucks have averaged 5.8 fast break points per game (853 points/147 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Bucks have averaged 11.2 second chance points per game (798 points/71 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Bucks have averaged 13.0 fast break points per game (844 points/65 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.5
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pacers have allowed 56.1 points in the paint per game (4,210 points/75 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.1
Milwaukee Bucks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Bucks have averaged 37.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,511 rebounds/147 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Bucks have averaged 38.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,476 rebounds/65 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Bucks averaged 6.8 steals per game (558 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Bucks averaged 37.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,035 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
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