Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Cavaliers are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSOH | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 232.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 43-35 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 37-40 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+2.5 -105O 232.5 -110+120
Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5 -115U 232.5 -110-145

Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Friday‘s game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 55.7% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 54 games (+17.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 29 away games (+14.30 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 55 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 71 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 72 games (+7.10 Units / 5% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 43-35 (+4.5 Units / 5.05% ROI).

  • 46-35 against the Moneyline (-0.75 Units / -0.46% ROI)
  • 39-40 against the Over for game total points (-5.05 Units / -5.74% ROI)
  • 40-39 against the Under for game total points (-2.9 Units / -3.3% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 37-40 (-7 Units / -7.95% ROI).

  • 47-33 against the Moneyline (+3.05 Units / 1.57% ROI)
  • 38-41 against the Over for game total points (-7.1 Units / -8.07% ROI)
  • 41-38 against the Under for game total points (-0.8 Units / -0.91% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 74 games (-23.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 85 games (-22.85 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 29 games at home (-20.95 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 55 games (-19.65 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 85 games (-18.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 17 of their last 54 games (-24.85 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-19.70 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 81 games (-18.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 34 away games (-17.45 Units / -47% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pacers are 27-7 (.794) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 12-4 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .467

The Pacers are 9-5 (.643) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .532

The Pacers are 3-8 (.273) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .399

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers were 19-8 (.704) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Cavaliers were 10-23 (.303) when allowing 110 or more points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .355

The Cavaliers were 37-26 (.587) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

The Cavaliers are 28-1 (.966) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .821

Injury Report: Cavaliers vs. PacersFriday‘s Game, Apr. 12

  • Donovan Mitchell (Cleveland Cavaliers): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Tristan Thompson (Cleveland Cavaliers): Suspension, Out
  • Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers): Ankle, Out
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,320 points/40 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.6

The Pacers have averaged 61.3 points per game (4,907 points/80 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers have averaged 17.2 fast break points per game (2,793 points/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Pacers have averaged 8.1 fast break points per game (1,314 points/162 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.7

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 15.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,237 rebounds/80 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Cavaliers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,241 assists/ 1,087 TOs) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Cavaliers have averaged 112.5 points per game (8,997 points/80 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Cavaliers averaged 12.7 fast break points per game (1,043 points/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have allowed 58.5 points in the paint per game (4,678 points/80 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.2

The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pacers have averaged 5.9 blocks per game (473 blocks/80 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,745 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Cavaliers have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (5,590 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers allowed 106.9 points per game (8,764 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 114.7

The Cavaliers allowed 52.1 points per game (4,269 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 56.1


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.