Pacers vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, May 4

  • The Cavaliers are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | truTV | Max

The Indiana Pacers visit Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Cleveland, OH, OH.

The Cavaliers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Cavaliers Over/Under is 230.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 38-45 against the spread, while the Cavaliers are 51-34 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Cavaliers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+8.5 -110O 230.5 -115+300
Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 -110U 230.5 -105-375

Cavaliers vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Cavaliers will win Sunday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Cavaliers.

Cavaliers vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Cavaliers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 62 games (+36.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 52 games (+26.04 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 52 games (+18.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 79 games (+17.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 90 games (+29.65 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 43 games at home (+23.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 88 games (+20.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 88 games (+16.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have covered the Spread in 53 of their last 88 games (+15.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 38-45 (-11.5 Units / -12% ROI).

  • 54-33 against the Moneyline (+19.9 Units / 8.39% ROI)
  • 45-38 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 3.34% ROI)
  • 38-45 against the Under for game total points (-11.5 Units / -12.02% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Cavaliers have gone 51-34 (+13.6 Units / 14.38% ROI).

  • 68-18 against the Moneyline (+26.15 Units / 6.62% ROI)
  • 54-32 against the Over for game total points (+18.8 Units / 19.87% ROI)
  • 32-54 against the Under for game total points (-27.4 Units / -28.96% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-35.68 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 92 games (-29.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 92 games (-28.95 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 82 games (-26.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 91 games (-22.30 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 79 games (-29.80 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games (-25.50 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 98 games (-20.74 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-19.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 94 games (-18.75 Units / -13% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers

The Pacers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Pacers are 20-5 (.800) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Pacers are 20-5 (.800) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Bucks have forced 12.4 turnovers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-2nd-lowest in the NBA.

The Pacers are 0-6 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Cavaliers have allowed 111.3 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-best in the NBA.

Cleveland Cavaliers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Cavaliers are undefeated (14-0) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Cavaliers are 11-2 (.846) when attempting 15 or less free throws this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Cavaliers are 35-6 (.854) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Heat have averaged 50.8 rebounds/game this season — 7th-lowest in the NBA.

The Cavaliers were 28-1 (.966) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .822

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers had an eFG% of 58% last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

Cleveland Cavaliers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have an eFG% of 58% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Cavaliers are shooting 38% from three (640/1,671) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Cavaliers have averaged 13.2 turnovers per game (1,082 turnovers/82 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 121.9 points per game (9,999 points/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pacers allowed 30.5 points in the paint per game (2,504 points/82 games) in the first half last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 25.4

The Pacers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,876 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pacers have 694 steals this season — 9th most among NBA teams

Cleveland Cavaliers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Cavaliers have averaged 36.4 defensive rebounds per game (2,985 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (350 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Cavaliers have averaged 4.5 blocks per game (730 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Cavaliers have allowed an average of 1.24 points per shot (9,217 points/7,454 shots) this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.28


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