Pacers vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 30, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 243.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT | NBSB

The Indiana Pacers visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Celtics Over/Under is 245.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 26-19 against the spread, while the Celtics are 23-22 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+7.5 -105O 245.5 -110+260
Boston Celtics -7.5 -115U 245.5 -110-350

Celtics vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Tuesday‘s game with 74.4% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pacers and Celtics, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Celtics vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.9% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 46 of their last 71 games (+17.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+14.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 33 away games (+13.20 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 away games (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 62 of their last 96 games (+27.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 73 of their last 96 games (+23.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 23 games at home (+15.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 48 games at home (+14.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+14.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 26-19 (+5.1 Units / 9.66% ROI).

  • 27-21 against the Moneyline (+2.95 Units / 3.68% ROI)
  • 27-19 against the Over for game total points (+6.05 Units / 11.44% ROI)
  • 19-27 against the Under for game total points (-10.65 Units / -20.21% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 23-22 (-1.15 Units / -2.22% ROI).

  • 36-11 against the Moneyline (+14.05 Units / 7.26% ROI)
  • 23-24 against the Over for game total points (-3.4 Units / -6.58% ROI)
  • 24-23 against the Under for game total points (-1.3 Units / -2.51% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 98 games (-21.95 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 70 games (-20.95 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 27 of their last 70 games (-20.60 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 98 games (-19.05 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 97 games (-17.35 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 71 games (-28.00 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 75 games (-23.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 37 games (-21.55 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 26 of their last 70 games (-21.45 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 75 games (-18.25 Units / -22% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Pacers are 14-6 (.700) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .579

The Pacers are 2-8 (.200) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .433

The Pacers are 1-5 (.167) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Pacers are 4-2 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .546

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Celtics are 28-6 (.824) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Celtics are 11-1 (.917) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .588

The Celtics were 31-1 (.969) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .702

The Celtics are winless (0-3) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .175

Injury Report: Celtics vs. PacersTuesday‘s Game, Jan. 30

  • Luke Kornet (Boston Celtics): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 62.9 points per game (2,956 points/47 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers are shooting 51% (2,207/4,356) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pacers have averaged 8.2 fast break points per game (1,057 points/129 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have a TS% of 56% in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

The Pacers have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (281 blocks/47 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Pacers have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (382 blocks/63 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,821 rebounds/47 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics have averaged 38.2 defensive rebounds per game (4,933 rebounds/129 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.4 steals per game (300 steals/47 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.