Pacers vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 12, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -11.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSCH | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Hornets Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 29-23 against the spread, while the Hornets are 19-33 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-9.5 -110O 238.5 -115-450
Charlotte Hornets +9.5 -110U 238.5 -105+340

Hornets vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Monday‘s game with 87.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Hornets.

Hornets vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.7% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 46 of their last 73 games (+17.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 49 of their last 78 games (+15.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 45 of their last 73 games (+15.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 away games (+13.00 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+14.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 59 games (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 76 games (+8.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 32 games at home (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 29-23 (+3.7 Units / 6.12% ROI).

  • 30-25 against the Moneyline (+0.85 Units / 0.88% ROI)
  • 30-23 against the Over for game total points (+4.65 Units / 7.67% ROI)
  • 23-30 against the Under for game total points (-9.95 Units / -16.47% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 19-33 (-17.25 Units / -30.24% ROI).

  • 11-41 against the Moneyline (-11.4 Units / -20.9% ROI)
  • 28-24 against the Over for game total points (+1.6 Units / 2.8% ROI)
  • 24-28 against the Under for game total points (-6.8 Units / -11.89% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 58 games (-27.55 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-21.50 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 27 of their last 71 games (-21.30 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 73 games (-21.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 71 games (-19.25 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 78 games (-27.40 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 44 games (-24.80 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 79 games (-23.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 29 of their last 77 games (-22.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 78 games (-17.35 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pacers were 6-10 (.375) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pacers are 20-6 (.769) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .671

The Pacers are 10-28 (.263) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .328

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Hornets are 2-9 (.182) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .561

The Hornets are 3-21 (.125) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

The Hornets are 2-13 (.133) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .418

The Hornets are 17-31 (.354) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Hornets vs. PacersMonday‘s Game, Feb. 12

  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Gordon Hayward (Charlotte Hornets): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out
  • Kyle Lowry (Charlotte Hornets): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,350 points/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,667 assists/54 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 18.1 fast break points per game (1,481 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets had an eFG% of 52% last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Hornets shot 45% (1,655/3,654) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets have averaged 52.0 points per game (2,703 points/52 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.7

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,773 rebounds/54 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,503 rebounds/136 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers stole the ball 631 times last season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Pacers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (315 blocks/54 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,713 rebounds/52 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 43% from three (386/895) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets have averaged 4.8 blocks per game (248 blocks/52 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Hornets have averaged 6.5 steals per game (340 steals/52 games) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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