Pacers vs Hornets Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 4

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 04, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -9.5 favorites vs. the Hornets
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSCH | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Spectrum Center to take on the Charlotte Hornets on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Charlotte, NC.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Pacers vs Hornets Over/Under is 235.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 27-21 against the spread, while the Hornets are 16-31 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Hornets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers-10.5 -110O 235.5 -110-550
Charlotte Hornets +10.5 -110U 235.5 -110+400

Hornets vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Sunday‘s game with 80.8% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pacers and Hornets, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Hornets vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 52.4% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.80 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+15.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 43 of their last 69 games (+15.30 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 74 games (+12.15 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 41 games at home (+17.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games at home (+13.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 71 games (+11.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 54 games (+10.40 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 27-21 (+3.9 Units / 6.95% ROI).

  • 27-24 against the Moneyline (-0.05 Units / -0.06% ROI)
  • 29-20 against the Over for game total points (+6.95 Units / 12.37% ROI)
  • 20-29 against the Under for game total points (-11.85 Units / -21.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hornets have gone 16-31 (-18.05 Units / -34.98% ROI).

  • 10-37 against the Moneyline (-9.1 Units / -18.37% ROI)
  • 25-22 against the Over for game total points (+0.8 Units / 1.55% ROI)
  • 22-25 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -10.64% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 53 games (-27.65 Units / -50% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 28 of their last 75 games (-22.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 75 games (-21.90 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the 1H Spread in 25 of their last 66 games (-20.20 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Charlotte Hornets have only covered the Spread in 25 of their last 66 games (-20.05 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 74 games (-27.20 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 29 of their last 78 games (-24.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 27 of their last 73 games (-22.55 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 40 games (-22.55 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-19.45 Units / -23% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Charlotte Hornets

The Pacers are 18-6 (.750) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-9th-best in the NBA. The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three this season — worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 14-4 (.778) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

The Pacers were 1-3 (.250) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pacers were 15-20 (.429) when they lose the turnover margin last season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

Charlotte Hornets: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Hornets are 2-7 (.222) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

The Hornets are 10-44 (.185) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Hornets are 17-29 (.370) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

The Hornets were 7-28 (.200) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

Injury Report: Hornets vs. PacersSunday‘s Game, Feb. 4

  • LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Gordon Hayward (Charlotte Hornets): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Mark Williams (Charlotte Hornets): Back, Out
  • Kyle Lowry (Charlotte Hornets): Not Injury Related, Out
  • Myles Turner (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers): Hamstring, Game Time Decision
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Indiana Pacers): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have a TS% of 54% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pacers averaged 18.1 fast break points per game (1,481 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Pacers averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (819 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

Charlotte Hornets Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have 19.0 free throw attempts per game this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 22.9

The Hornets shot 33% from three (881/2,669) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Hornets are shooting 45% (2,573/5,675) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hornets shot 45% (1,655/3,654) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,372 rebounds/132 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,642 rebounds/50 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers have blocked 295 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams

Charlotte Hornets Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hornets have averaged 32.6 defensive rebounds per game (1,531 rebounds/47 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Hornets averaged 5.2 blocks per game (425 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 44% from three (368/843) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Hornets have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three (648/1,617) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%


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