Pacers vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Dec. 22

  • The Kings are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 236.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDIN | NSCA

The Indiana Pacers visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Kings Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 10-16 against the spread, while the Kings are 10-18 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+2.5 -115O 236.5 -110+110
Sacramento Kings -2.5 -105U 236.5 -110-135

Kings vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Kings.

Kings vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 60 of their last 96 games (+18.49 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 62 games (+9.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+7.48 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games (+13.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.43 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.25 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 48 of their last 83 games (+8.72 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 30 of their last 49 games (+8.35 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 10-16 (-7.6 Units / -24.68% ROI).

  • 13-15 against the Moneyline (-11.35 Units / -19.49% ROI)
  • 16-10 against the Over for game total points (+5 Units / 16.23% ROI)
  • 10-16 against the Under for game total points (-7.6 Units / -24.68% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 10-18 (-9.8 Units / -30.72% ROI).

  • 13-16 against the Moneyline (-17.4 Units / -25.11% ROI)
  • 14-15 against the Over for game total points (-2.5 Units / -7.84% ROI)
  • 15-14 against the Under for game total points (-0.4 Units / -1.25% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 86 games (-45.85 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 32 of their last 87 games (-31.68 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 87 games (-25.66 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.52 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 87 games (-20.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 100 games (-32.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 95 games (-30.52 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-21.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 46 away games (-20.40 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 99 games (-19.55 Units / -18% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Pacers are 3-11 (.214) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .388

The Pacers were 12-4 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .466

The Pacers were 29-14 (.674) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pacers are 29-10 (.744) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed 13.5 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th-worst in the NBA.

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Kings are 1-8 (.111) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414

The Kings are undefeated (12-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .896

The Kings are 5-30 (.143) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .196

The Kings are 2-10 (.167) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .277

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 123.3 points per game (10,110 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

The Pacers are shooting 50% (2,495/4,949) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 16.8 offensive rebounds per game (1,380 rebounds/82 games) last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 16.2

The Kings have averaged 13.5 turnovers per game (392 turnovers/29 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.9

The Kings averaged 23% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,710 free throw attempts/7,455 field goal attempts) last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

The Kings had 20.9 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,721 rebounds/110 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pacers have allowed 56.5 points in the paint per game (6,218 points/110 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,340 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8

The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (739 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Kings allowed 11.1 second chance points per game (455 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Kings allowed 14.5 offensive rebounds per game (1,190 rebounds/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 16.2


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