Pacers vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 18

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 18, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 246.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSCA | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-105).

The Pacers vs Kings Over/Under is 245.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 23-17 against the spread, while the Kings are 22-18 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+8.5 -115O 245.5 -110+260
Sacramento Kings -8.5 -105U 245.5 -110-350

Kings vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 75.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pacers and Kings, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Kings vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 52.0% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 64 games (+18.65 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 66 games (+18.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 40 away games (+16.55 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 33 away games (+14.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+12.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+7.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 87 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 72 games (+6.75 Units / 8% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 23-17 (+4.3 Units / 9.53% ROI).

  • 23-18 against the Moneyline (+1.3 Units / 1.88% ROI)
  • 24-15 against the Over for game total points (+7.45 Units / 16.48% ROI)
  • 15-24 against the Under for game total points (-11.35 Units / -25.22% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 22-18 (+2.05 Units / 4.62% ROI).

  • 23-17 against the Moneyline (-10.35 Units / -12.13% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -6.82% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.05% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 59 games (-29.35 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 83 games (-20.95 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 9 of their last 35 games at home (-19.80 Units / -51% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-17.45 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-15.20 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 64 games (-28.50 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 27 of their last 74 games (-24.30 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 30 games (-19.80 Units / -46% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 68 games (-18.95 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 24 of their last 63 games (-17.90 Units / -26% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Pacers are winless (0-4) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The Pacers are 17-4 (.810) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Kings have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 11-5 (.688) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .565

The Pacers are 1-7 (.125) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .434

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Kings were 1-11 (.083) when their eFG is 50% or worse last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .223

The Kings are 13-2 (.867) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — worst in the NBA.

The Kings are 20-4 (.833) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .592

The Kings were 46-18 (.719) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Injury Report: Kings vs. PacersThursday‘s Game, Jan. 18

  • Alex Len (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Keegan Murray (Sacramento Kings): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Chris Duarte (Sacramento Kings): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Heel, Out

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 63.8 points per game (2,553 points/40 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 57.4

The Pacers have averaged 17.8 fast break points per game (2,174 points/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers have a TS% of 55% this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 59.0 points per game (4,837 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

The Kings averaged 1.37 points per shot (9,898 points/7,234 shots) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have 321 steals this season — 10th most among NBA teams

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,037 rebounds/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have averaged 32.7 defensive rebounds per game (1,307 rebounds/40 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (434 blocks/122 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings allowed 10.9 points in the paint per game (698 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8

The Kings have averaged 4.0 blocks per game (159 blocks/40 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.