Pacers vs Magic Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 10, 2024, 5:30 PM
  • The Magic are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSFL | BSIN

The Indiana Pacers visit Kia Center to take on the Orlando Magic on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EDT in Orlando, FL.

The Magic are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Pacers vs Magic Over/Under is 222.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 33-29 against the spread, while the Magic are 42-22 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Magic Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+1.5 -125O 222.5 -110-110
Orlando Magic -1.5 +105U 222.5 -110-110

Magic vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Magic will win Sunday‘s game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Magic.

Magic vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 47 of their last 76 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 23 of their last 30 games (+15.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 35 away games (+12.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.60 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 37 games (+9.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 77 games (+22.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have covered the 4Q Spread in 35 of their last 51 games (+17.45 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 51 games (+16.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 76 games (+16.25 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 45 of their last 75 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 33-29 (+1.1 Units / 1.54% ROI).

  • 35-30 against the Moneyline (-4.95 Units / -4.13% ROI)
  • 33-30 against the Over for game total points (-0.05 Units / -0.07% ROI)
  • 30-33 against the Under for game total points (-6.25 Units / -8.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Magic have gone 42-22 (+17.9 Units / 25.5% ROI).

  • 37-27 against the Moneyline (+16 Units / 15.12% ROI)
  • 29-34 against the Over for game total points (-8.4 Units / -11.93% ROI)
  • 34-29 against the Under for game total points (+2.1 Units / 2.98% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 75 games (-20.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-15.85 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 15 of their last 43 games (-15.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 50 games (-14.80 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Orlando Magic have only hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 42 games (-13.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 54 games (-26.50 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 80 games (-18.70 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 38 games (-18.30 Units / -44% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 36 away games (-17.45 Units / -41% ROI)

Jump to:

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Orlando Magic

The Pacers are 15-7 (.682) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Pacers are 30-31 (.492) when scoring 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pacers were 14-29 (.326) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pacers were 16-20 (.444) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Orlando Magic: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Magic were undefeated (5-0) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .729

The Magic are 19-1 (.950) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 3rd-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 50% this season — worst in the NBA.

The Magic are 27-8 (.771) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed 121.8 points per game this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

The Magic are 10-5 (.667) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .538

Injury Report: Magic vs. PacersSunday‘s Game, Mar. 10

  • Markelle Fultz (Orlando Magic): Knee, Out
  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,369 points/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers averaged 10.0 fast break points per game (819 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pacers are shooting 51% (2,575/5,066) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

Orlando Magic Offensive Stats & Trends

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (892 assists/ 619 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,906 assists/ 1,236 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Magic had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (894 assists/ 584 TOs) in the second half last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7

The Magic have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (693 assists/ 414 TOs) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers have allowed 59.3 points in the paint per game (3,262 points/55 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.7

The Pacers have averaged 33.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,535 rebounds/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Orlando Magic Defensive Stats & Trends

The Magic have averaged 8.2 steals per game (433 steals/53 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Magic have averaged 34.5 defensive rebounds per game (1,831 rebounds/53 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Magic have 433 steals this season — 3rd most among NBA teams

The Magic allowed 7.4 points in the paint per game (520 points/70 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 8.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.