- The Thunder are -9.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
- Total (Over/Under): 224.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Indiana Pacers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).
The Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 48-50 against the spread, while the Thunder are 62-37 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Indiana Pacers | +9.5 -115 | O 224.5 -105 | +340 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -9.5 -105 | U 224.5 -115 | -450 |
Thunder vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Thunder.
Thunder vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 77 games (+51.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 67 games (+29.54 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 46 of their last 67 games (+23.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 59 of their last 94 games (+20.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 41 of their last 64 games (+17.80 Units / 18% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 51 of their last 83 games (+20.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 88 games (+17.75 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 44 games at home (+15.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 33 of their last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 48-50 (-7 Units / -6.23% ROI).
- 64-38 against the Moneyline (+35.4 Units / 13.96% ROI)
- 52-46 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 1.25% ROI)
- 46-52 against the Under for game total points (-11.2 Units / -9.98% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 62-37 (+21.3 Units / 18.8% ROI).
- 82-21 against the Moneyline (+15.85 Units / 2.92% ROI)
- 55-47 against the Over for game total points (+3.3 Units / 2.91% ROI)
- 47-55 against the Under for game total points (-13.5 Units / -11.92% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 84 games (-25.65 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 84 games (-24.65 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-22.68 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-19.42 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 42 of their last 96 games (-19.38 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 94 games (-34.20 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 25 of their last 55 games (-23.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 55 games (-19.15 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 99 games (-18.80 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 94 games (-17.90 Units / -16% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Pacers are 0-6 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 110.2 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA.
The Pacers are 84-56 (.600) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .509
The Pacers are 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .627
The Pacers are 20-2 (.909) when winning the rebounding margin by 10 or more since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .762
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
The Thunder are 30-3 (.909) when winning the rebounding margin this season — best in the NBA. The Pacers have averaged 49.5 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
The Thunder are 81-11 (.880) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .577
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Pacers averaged 30.8 assists per game (2,522 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7
The Pacers had a TS% of 54% last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder had an eFG% of 58% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Thunder are shooting 82% from the free throw line (2,820/3,431) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 78%
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have averaged 35.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,876 rebounds/82 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have averaged 5.7 blocks per game (929 blocks/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Pacers have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (448 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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