Pacers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jun. 22

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Indiana Pacers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 49-51 against the spread, while the Thunder are 63-38 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 79 games (+52.60 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 45 of their last 69 games (+27.54 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 96 games (+22.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 46 of their last 69 games (+20.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 42 of their last 66 games (+18.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 52 of their last 85 games (+20.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 45 games at home (+16.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 90 games (+16.65 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 22 of their last 25 games at home (+13.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 47 games (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 49-51 (-7.1 Units / -6.2% ROI).

  • 65-39 against the Moneyline (+36.2 Units / 14.17% ROI)
  • 53-47 against the Over for game total points (+1.3 Units / 1.14% ROI)
  • 47-53 against the Under for game total points (-11.3 Units / -9.88% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 63-38 (+21.2 Units / 18.36% ROI).

  • 83-22 against the Moneyline (+14.75 Units / 2.69% ROI)
  • 56-48 against the Over for game total points (+3.2 Units / 2.77% ROI)
  • 48-56 against the Under for game total points (-13.6 Units / -11.77% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 86 games (-24.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 40 of their last 86 games (-23.65 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 43 of their last 100 games (-20.53 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 96 games (-19.86 Units / -10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.50 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 96 games (-36.50 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 57 games (-23.35 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 96 games (-20.35 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 47 away games (-19.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 44 of their last 100 games (-17.80 Units / -16% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pacers are 32-4 (.889) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820

The Pacers are 8-7 (.533) when attempting 15 or less free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Pacers are 31-8 (.795) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .706

The Pacers are 19-14 (.576) when allowing 15 or more second chance points this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596

The Thunder are 37-4 (.902) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

The Thunder are 32-1 (.970) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed opponents to shoot 47% this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Thunder are 89-35 (.718) when grabbing 12 or more offensive rebounds since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .491

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (2,453 assists/ 1,039 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.3 (2,202 assists/ 961 TOs) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have allowed 56.0 points in the paint per game (4,588 points/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.1

The Pacers have blocked 448 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Pacers blocked 481 shots last season — 8th most among NBA teams

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (792 steals/83 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed a TS% of 48% on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.