Pacers vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jun. 5

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Indiana Pacers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 46-48 against the spread, while the Thunder are 60-35 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Thursday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Thunder.

Thunder vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 73 games (+48.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 42 of their last 63 games (+26.84 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 43 of their last 63 games (+21.25 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 56 of their last 90 games (+18.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 38 of their last 60 games (+14.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 84 games (+22.60 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 60 of their last 99 games (+21.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 42 games at home (+16.05 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 31 of their last 38 games (+14.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 71 games (+13.30 Units / 17% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 46-48 (-6.8 Units / -6.3% ROI).

  • 62-36 against the Moneyline (+31.75 Units / 12.72% ROI)
  • 51-43 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 3.43% ROI)
  • 43-51 against the Under for game total points (-13.1 Units / -12.15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 60-35 (+21.5 Units / 19.74% ROI).

  • 80-19 against the Moneyline (+20.7 Units / 3.93% ROI)
  • 54-44 against the Over for game total points (+5.6 Units / 5.14% ROI)
  • 44-54 against the Under for game total points (-15.4 Units / -14.14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 80 games (-26.60 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-22.37 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 80 games (-21.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 99 games (-21.38 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 71 games (-20.30 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 90 games (-31.75 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 51 games (-25.00 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 95 games (-20.60 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 games (-17.75 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 90 games (-17.55 Units / -17% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pacers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .090

The Pacers are 0-6 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Thunder have allowed 110.2 points per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th-best in the NBA.

The Pacers are 20-5 (.800) when turning the ball over fewer than 10 times since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Pacers were 24-8 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436

The Thunder are 34-6 (.850) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

The Thunder are 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7

The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (2,453 assists/ 1,039 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5

The Pacers averaged 123.3 points per game (10,110 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3

The Thunder have averaged 17.2 points per game (844 points/49 games) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.3

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (448 blocks/82 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Pacers blocked 481 shots last season — 8th most among NBA teams

The Pacers have blocked 448 shots this season — 6th most among NBA teams

The Pacers have averaged 8.1 steals per game (1,325 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 10.3 steals per game (847 steals/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,514/3,496) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.