- The Thunder are -10.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
- Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
- Watch the game on ABC
The Indiana Pacers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK, OK.
The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-115).
The Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 47-48 against the spread, while the Thunder are 60-36 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Indiana Pacers | +10.5 -105 | O 228.5 -110 | +425 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | -10.5 -115 | U 228.5 -110 | -600 |
Thunder vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Sunday‘s game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Thunder.
Thunder vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 60.5% confidence.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 74 games (+51.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 43 of their last 64 games (+28.14 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 44 of their last 64 games (+22.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 57 of their last 91 games (+19.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 60 of their last 100 games (+20.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 69 of their last 85 games (+17.90 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in 32 of their last 39 games (+15.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 30 of their last 43 games at home (+14.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 47-48 (-5.8 Units / -5.32% ROI).
- 63-36 against the Moneyline (+35.55 Units / 14.19% ROI)
- 51-44 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 2.39% ROI)
- 44-51 against the Under for game total points (-12.1 Units / -11.11% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 60-36 (+20.4 Units / 18.55% ROI).
- 80-20 against the Moneyline (+16 Units / 3.01% ROI)
- 54-45 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 4.09% ROI)
- 45-54 against the Under for game total points (-14.4 Units / -13.09% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 81 games (-25.60 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 81 games (-23.55 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-22.53 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 98 games (-21.37 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 72 games (-19.30 Units / -24% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 91 games (-32.90 Units / -31% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 23 of their last 52 games (-26.00 Units / -25% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 96 games (-19.60 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 52 games (-18.75 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 38 of their last 91 games (-18.75 Units / -18% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Pacers were 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
The Pacers are 19-13 (.594) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Pacers are 21-5 (.808) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646
The Pacers are 5-12 (.294) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Thunder are 64-9 (.877) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .596
The Thunder are 19-5 (.792) when attempting 15 or less free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .436
The Thunder are 34-6 (.850) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .557
The Thunder are 59-12 (.831) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .505
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Pacers have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.4 (2,453 assists/ 1,039 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9
The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 11.7 turnovers per game (961 turnovers/82 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.3
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 5.6 turnovers per game (463 turnovers/82 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Thunder have averaged 17.2 points per game (844 points/49 games) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.3
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers have allowed 56.0 points in the paint per game (4,588 points/82 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.1
The Pacers averaged 5.9 blocks per game (481 blocks/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Pacers have averaged 8.5 steals per game (694 steals/82 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,541 steals/164 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 44% (3,109/7,130) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,505/3,504) in the second half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
The Thunder averaged 6.6 blocks per game (538 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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