- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDIN | FDOK | KSBI
The Indiana Pacers visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Oklahoma City, OK.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pacers vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 32-37 against the spread, while the Thunder are 46-24 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Indiana Pacers | O | ||
| Oklahoma City Thunder | U |
Thunder vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Saturday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Thunder.
Thunder vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+27.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 27 of their last 38 games (+17.84 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+14.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 57 games (+14.52 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 38 games (+13.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Thunder Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 56 of their last 88 games (+25.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 89 games (+23.45 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 55 games (+18.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 13 games (+13.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 32-37 (-8.7 Units / -10.82% ROI).
- 43-30 against the Moneyline (+11 Units / 6.62% ROI)
- 36-33 against the Over for game total points (-0.3 Units / -0.37% ROI)
- 33-36 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -8.22% ROI)
Oklahoma City Thunder Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 46-24 (+19.6 Units / 24.08% ROI).
- 61-13 against the Moneyline (+18.25 Units / 4.43% ROI)
- 40-33 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 4.55% ROI)
- 33-40 against the Under for game total points (-11 Units / -13.51% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Thunder:
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 55 games (-26.05 Units / -42% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 70 games (-18.90 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 39 of their last 90 games (-18.40 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 94 games (-17.12 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 46 games (-15.90 Units / -31% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 98 games (-24.55 Units / -22% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 65 games (-24.35 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 40 of their last 96 games (-22.95 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 88 games (-19.44 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 40 of their last 97 games (-18.37 Units / -17% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Oklahoma City Thunder
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder
The Pacers are 11-12 (.478) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .542
The Pacers are 32-13 (.711) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .612
The Pacers are 3-17 (.150) when their eFG is 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .179
The Pacers are 44-13 (.772) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .642
Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Thunder are 60-9 (.870) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .590
The Thunder are 15-2 (.882) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .562
The Thunder are 76-11 (.874) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573
The Thunder are 52-10 (.839) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .504
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers had an eFG% of 58% last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%
The Thunder have averaged 5.7 turnovers per game (417 turnovers/73 games) in the second half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1
The Thunder have averaged 11.9 turnovers per game (866 turnovers/73 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4
The Thunder had a TS% of 54% last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers have averaged 34.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,543 rebounds/73 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pacers have blocked 855 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th most among NBA teams
Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends
The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (742 steals/78 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,453 steals/155 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Thunder have averaged 10.4 steals per game (759 steals/73 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2
The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (1,353/3,123) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%
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