Pacers vs Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 17

  • The Timberwolves are -7.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDIN | FDN+

The Indiana Pacers visit Target Center to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN, USA.

The Timberwolves are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Pacers vs Timberwolves Over/Under is 228.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 29-34 against the spread, while the Timberwolves are 32-35 against the spread.


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Pacers vs. Timberwolves Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Indiana Pacers+7.5 -105O 228.5 -110+260
Minnesota Timberwolves -7.5 -115U 228.5 -110-325

Timberwolves vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Timberwolves will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Timberwolves.

Timberwolves vs Pacers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 53.9% confidence.


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  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 41 games (+19.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 games (+17.59 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.00 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.77 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 games (+12.95 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 40 games (+20.85 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 4Q Spread in 28 of their last 40 games (+17.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the 3Q Spread in 60 of their last 100 games (+13.53 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 29-34 (-8.4 Units / -11.55% ROI).

  • 37-29 against the Moneyline (+2.8 Units / 2.01% ROI)
  • 32-30 against the Over for game total points (-1 Units / -1.38% ROI)
  • 30-32 against the Under for game total points (-5.2 Units / -7.16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Timberwolves have gone 32-35 (-6.55 Units / -8.62% ROI).

  • 40-29 against the Moneyline (-11.35 Units / -6.2% ROI)
  • 37-32 against the Over for game total points (+1.8 Units / 2.37% ROI)
  • 32-37 against the Under for game total points (-8.7 Units / -11.46% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 49 of their last 100 games (-26.25 Units / -13% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 1Q Spread in 42 of their last 100 games (-20.65 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 40 games (-19.15 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only covered the 2Q Spread in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.85 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 50 games at home (-18.55 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 97 games (-23.40 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 58 games (-22.80 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 89 games (-21.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 32 of their last 81 games (-21.34 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 39 of their last 95 games (-19.42 Units / -18% ROI)

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Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves

The Pacers are winless (0-8) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .184

The Pacers are winless (0-6) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .092

The Pacers are 29-13 (.690) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .607

The Pacers are 26-7 (.788) when assisting on 30 or more field goals this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .701

Minnesota Timberwolves: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Timberwolves were 48-20 (.706) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

The Timberwolves were 21-2 (.913) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697

The Timberwolves were 13-2 (.867) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Timberwolves were 25-7 (.781) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers averaged 29.0 points in the paint per game (2,374 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

The Pacers had a TS% of 54% last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Pacers have averaged 5.2 second chance points per game (345 points/66 games) in the first half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

Minnesota Timberwolves Offensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves shot 43% (368/853) in close and late situations last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Timberwolves have made 15.1 three-pointers per game this season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Timberwolves have averaged 1.30 points per shot (7,807 points/6,025 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27

The Timberwolves shot 39% from three (1,037/2,681) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pacers allowed 58.4 points in the paint per game (4,788 points/82 games) last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.3

The Pacers have averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (5,032 rebounds/148 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pacers allowed 10.7 made three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 12.8

Minnesota Timberwolves Defensive Stats & Trends

The Timberwolves averaged 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,971 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Timberwolves have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (833 blocks/151 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Timberwolves allowed a TS% of 49% last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 52%

The Timberwolves allowed an average of 1.21 points per shot (4,222 points/3,480 shots) in the second half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 1.31


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