- The Warriors are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pacers
- Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
- Watch the game on NBAt | FDIN | NSBA
The Indiana Pacers visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in San Francisco, CA.
The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Pacers vs Warriors Over/Under is 231.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pacers are 11-16 against the spread, while the Warriors are 16-11 against the spread.
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Pacers vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Indiana Pacers | +5.5 -110 | O 231.5 -115 | +180 |
| Golden State Warriors | -5.5 -110 | U 231.5 -105 | -225 |
Warriors vs Pacers Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Monday‘s game with 76.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pacers and Warriors.
Warriors vs Pacers Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 55.4% confidence.
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Pacers Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 61 of their last 97 games (+19.49 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+13.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.25 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 63 games (+10.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 64 games (+8.48 Units / 12% ROI)
Warriors Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 47 of their last 78 games (+15.68 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 67 games (+12.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 42 of their last 73 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 25 of their last 39 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Indiana Pacers Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 11-16 (-6.6 Units / -20.69% ROI).
- 14-15 against the Moneyline (-10.1 Units / -17.05% ROI)
- 16-11 against the Over for game total points (+3.9 Units / 12.23% ROI)
- 11-16 against the Under for game total points (-6.6 Units / -20.69% ROI)
Golden State Warriors Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 16-11 (+3.8 Units / 12.75% ROI).
- 15-12 against the Moneyline (-4.95 Units / -8.87% ROI)
- 12-15 against the Over for game total points (-4.5 Units / -15.15% ROI)
- 15-12 against the Under for game total points (+1.8 Units / 6.06% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Warriors:
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 38 games at home (-25.35 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.10 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 64 games (-17.95 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 2Q Spread in 33 of their last 80 games (-16.55 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 76 games (-16.10 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pacers:
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 36 of their last 97 games (-33.55 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 37 of their last 96 games (-29.52 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 100 games (-21.40 Units / -19% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 100 games (-20.70 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 47 away games (-19.15 Units / -23% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Indiana Pacers
- Keys to Winning for the Golden State Warriors
- Player Injuries for Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Indiana Pacers Offensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Offensive stats
- Indiana Pacers Defensive stats
- Golden State Warriors Defensive stats
Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors
The Pacers are 29-10 (.744) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-9th-worst in the NBA.
The Pacers were 24-8 (.750) when winning the rebounding margin last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Pacers were 28-7 (.800) when shooting 40% or better from three last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683
The Pacers were 29-14 (.674) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543
Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers
The Warriors are undefeated (7-0) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .550
The Warriors are 13-4 (.765) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 7th-best in the NBA. The Pacers have allowed 117.0 points per game this season — 5th-worst in the NBA.
The Warriors were 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544
The Warriors are 13-21 (.382) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447
Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 58.0 points in the paint per game (2,376 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Pacers averaged 57.9 points in the paint per game (4,746 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3
The Pacers averaged 61.5 points per game (5,039 points/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
The Pacers had an eFG% of 58% last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%
Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors had 20.0 free throw attempts per game last season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7
The Warriors averaged 117.8 points per game (9,657 points/82 games) last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
The Warriors made 14.8 three-pointers per game last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8
The Warriors have averaged 29.5 assists per game (5,520 assists/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.1
Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pacers averaged 33.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,763 rebounds/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pacers averaged 7.7 steals per game (631 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pacers have averaged 5.8 blocks per game (1,088 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Pacers have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (6,340 rebounds/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends
The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Warriors have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (820 blocks/187 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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