Pelicans vs Celtics Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 29

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Pelicans logo on the left and Celtics logo on the right
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 29, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Celtics are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBSB | BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Boston, MA.

The Celtics are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-115).

The Pelicans vs Celtics Over/Under is 236.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 25-20 against the spread, while the Celtics are 23-21 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Celtics Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+8.5 -105O 236.5 -110+310
Boston Celtics -8.5 -115U 236.5 -110-400

Celtics vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Celtics will win Monday‘s game with 77.5% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pelicans and Celtics, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Celtics vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Celtics will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 45 of their last 66 games (+28.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 42 of their last 66 games (+16.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 39 of their last 60 games (+16.25 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 79 games (+15.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 60 games (+11.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 1H Spread in 62 of their last 95 games (+28.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 1H Moneyline in 73 of their last 95 games (+26.00 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have covered the 2Q Spread in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+15.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 22 games at home (+14.70 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 35 of their last 47 games at home (+13.70 Units / 15% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-20 (+3.05 Units / 6.04% ROI).

  • 26-20 against the Moneyline (+1.45 Units / 1.71% ROI)
  • 23-23 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 23-23 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Celtics have gone 23-21 (-0.05 Units / -0.1% ROI).

  • 35-11 against the Moneyline (+13.05 Units / 6.85% ROI)
  • 23-23 against the Over for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 23-23 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 40 of their last 97 games (-22.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 33 of their last 69 games (-21.95 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 69 games (-21.60 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 97 games (-20.05 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Boston Celtics have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 41 of their last 96 games (-18.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 79 games (-24.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-18.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 62 games (-18.15 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.95 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-16.30 Units / -20% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Boston Celtics

The Pelicans are 16-8 (.667) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .575

The Pelicans are 5-7 (.417) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .547

The Pelicans are 10-4 (.714) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .587

The Pelicans were 10-8 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Boston Celtics: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Celtics are 10-1 (.909) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .587

The Celtics are 27-6 (.818) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .567

The Celtics were 25-1 (.962) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Celtics were 17-5 (.773) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .556

Injury Report: Celtics vs. PelicansMonday‘s Game, Jan. 29

  • Kristaps Porzingis (Boston Celtics): Calf, Game Time Decision
  • Matt Ryan (New Orleans Pelicans): Elbow, Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans): Ribs, Out

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans had 24.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Pelicans are shooting 38% from three (562/1,468) this season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (266/674) on the road this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 28% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (2,000 free throw attempts/7,181 field goal attempts) last season — 10th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 27%

Boston Celtics Offensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (1,087 assists/ 527 TOs) on the road last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Celtics have made 16.2 three-pointers per game this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Celtics have made 743 three-pointers this season — most among NBA teams

The Celtics have made 16.1 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.5

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (216 blocks/46 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (787/2,422) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,651 rebounds/46 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

Boston Celtics Defensive Stats & Trends

The Celtics have averaged 38.3 defensive rebounds per game (4,898 rebounds/128 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 38.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,786 rebounds/46 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Celtics have averaged 6.4 steals per game (293 steals/46 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.