Pelicans vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 29

  • The Grizzlies are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 230.5 points
  • Watch the game on NBAt | GCSE | FDSM

The New Orleans Pelicans visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 5:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Grizzlies Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 6-13 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 13-6 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Memphis Grizzlies U

Grizzlies vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Friday‘s game with 79.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 68.7% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 76 games (+14.85 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 53 of their last 89 games (+14.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.83 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 83 games (+12.20 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 65 games (+22.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 34 games (+14.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 40 of their last 63 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 games (+13.20 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 85 games (+12.30 Units / 13% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 6-13 (-8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI).

  • 4-15 against the Moneyline (-12.35 Units / -52.67% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Over for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.31% ROI)
  • 9-9 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -4.31% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 13-6 (+6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI).

  • 12-7 against the Moneyline (-1.75 Units / -4.6% ROI)
  • 13-6 against the Over for game total points (+6.4 Units / 30.62% ROI)
  • 6-13 against the Under for game total points (-8.3 Units / -39.71% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 85 games (-24.27 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 67 games (-20.77 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 71 games (-17.20 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 65 games (-15.45 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 33 games at home (-15.45 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 78 games (-25.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 83 games (-24.70 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 82 games (-23.80 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 34 games (-22.65 Units / -42% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 65 games (-21.80 Units / -29% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pelicans are 1-9 (.100) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd-worst in the NBA. The Grizzlies have averaged 57.5 rebounds/game this season — 3rd-highest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 18-4 (.818) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .645

The Pelicans are 1-8 (.111) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .412

The Pelicans are undefeated (8-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .895

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Grizzlies are 11-4 (.733) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 115.3 points per game this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.

The Grizzlies are 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Grizzlies are 11-22 (.333) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .552

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.16 points per shot (854 points/738 shots) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 48% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans are shooting 42% (310/738) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%

The Pelicans have averaged 50.2 points per game (854 points/17 games) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.1

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies averaged 104.0 points per game (4,262 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.4

The Grizzlies averaged 11.2 fast break points per game (461 points/41 games) at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.8

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (545 rebounds/17 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,167/3,463) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have 823 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th most among NBA teams

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (334 blocks/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,785 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Grizzlies have averaged 37.4 defensive rebounds per game (635 rebounds/17 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Grizzlies averaged 8.2 steals per game (673 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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