- The Heat are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
- Watch the game on GCSE | SUN
The New Orleans Pelicans visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pelicans vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 12-21 against the spread, while the Heat are 14-16 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| New Orleans Pelicans | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Heat.
Heat vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+12.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 85 games (+11.70 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+8.80 Units / 11% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 53 of their last 83 games (+20.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 2Q Spread in 37 of their last 57 games (+16.22 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 35 games (+11.41 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 12-21 (-11.1 Units / -30.58% ROI).
- 5-28 against the Moneyline (-24.3 Units / -64.89% ROI)
- 18-14 against the Over for game total points (+2.6 Units / 7.16% ROI)
- 14-18 against the Under for game total points (-5.8 Units / -15.98% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 14-16 (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI).
- 16-14 against the Moneyline (+2.35 Units / 4.4% ROI)
- 16-14 against the Over for game total points (+0.6 Units / 1.82% ROI)
- 14-16 against the Under for game total points (-3.6 Units / -10.91% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 87 games (-32.68 Units / -33% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 80 games (-24.25 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 87 games (-19.95 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 31 of their last 80 games (-19.35 Units / -17% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 37 of their last 86 games (-18.15 Units / -18% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 48 games (-34.60 Units / -51% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 28 of their last 79 games (-27.15 Units / -30% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 85 games (-24.57 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 88 games (-24.05 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 81 games (-20.20 Units / -22% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Miami Heat
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pelicans are 1-13 (.071) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .284
The Pelicans are 2-14 (.125) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — T-2nd-worst in the NBA. The Heat have made 14.4 three-pointers per game this season — 9th-highest in the NBA.
The Pelicans are 1-13 (.071) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Heat have shot 37% from three this season — T-7th-best in the NBA.
The Pelicans are 2-5 (.286) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Heat were 2-6 (.250) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .414
The Heat are 9-4 (.692) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .602
The Heat are 23-9 (.719) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .583
The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Pelicans have a TS% of 46% on the road this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans have made 11.3 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5
The Pelicans have averaged 1.18 points per shot (3,520 points/2,972 shots) this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 53.2 points per game (9,892 points/186 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat shot 43% (413/964) in close and late situations last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 46%
The Heat are shooting 83% from the free throw line (1,747/2,102) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 79%
The Heat averaged 53.3 points per game (4,368 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.5
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 32.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,069 rebounds/33 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5
The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans have averaged 34.7 defensive rebounds per game (3,993 rebounds/115 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (603 blocks/186 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (302 blocks/93 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (301 blocks/93 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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