Pelicans vs Kings Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 11, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Kings are -1.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
  • Watch the game on TNT

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Thursday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Sacramento, CA.

The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Pelicans vs Kings Over/Under is 215.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 41-36 against the spread, while the Kings are 40-38 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+1.5 -120O 215.5 -110-105
Sacramento Kings -1.5 +100U 215.5 -110-115

Kings vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Thursday‘s game with 61.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Kings.

Kings vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Kings will cover the spread for Thursday‘s game with 60.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 80 games (+26.05 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 51 of their last 75 games (+23.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 31 away games (+17.75 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 80 games (+15.15 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 47 games (+14.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.20 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 41-36 (+1.4 Units / 1.61% ROI).

  • 47-32 against the Moneyline (+2.3 Units / 1.22% ROI)
  • 34-45 against the Over for game total points (-15.5 Units / -17.84% ROI)
  • 45-34 against the Under for game total points (+7.6 Units / 8.75% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 40-38 (-1.75 Units / -2.02% ROI).

  • 45-34 against the Moneyline (-22.8 Units / -12.08% ROI)
  • 35-42 against the Over for game total points (-11.2 Units / -12.89% ROI)
  • 42-35 against the Under for game total points (+3.5 Units / 4.03% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 54 games (-28.15 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 4Q Spread in 11 of their last 39 games at home (-20.85 Units / -47% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 77 games (-19.35 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 34 of their last 69 games (-17.30 Units / -16% ROI)
  • The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 54 games (-14.45 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 69 games (-23.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 66 games (-20.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 68 games (-16.00 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 77 games (-15.35 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 43 games (-14.90 Units / -30% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

The Pelicans are 18-6 (.750) when forcing 10 or more steals this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Pelicans are undefeated (15-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .881

The Pelicans are 26-13 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .564

Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Kings are 0-13 (.000) when scoring fewer than 100 points since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-worst in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 111.4 points per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-8th-best in the NBA.

The Kings were 35-26 (.574) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .507

The Kings are undefeated (12-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .881

The Kings are 37-22 (.627) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .511

Injury Report: Kings vs. PelicansThursday‘s Game, Apr. 11

  • Sasha Vezenkov (Sacramento Kings): Ankle, Out
  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (68/215) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans have made 12.2 three-pointers per game this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pelicans had 24.4 free throw attempts per game last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.5

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,079 points/6,902 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends

The Kings averaged 120.7 points per game (9,898 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.7

The Kings averaged 123.4 points per game (5,058 points/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 115.9

The Kings averaged 24.7 points per game (1,578 points/64 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 20.9

The Kings have a TS% of 50% in the second half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,028/3,085) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (1,339 steals/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,821 rebounds/79 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends

The Kings have allowed 10.8 second chance points per game (854 points/79 games) this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7

The Kings have allowed 11.0 second chance points per game (418 points/38 games) at home this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.5

The Kings averaged 3.4 blocks per game (275 blocks/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Kings have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (610 blocks/161 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9


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