- The Kings are -6.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
- Total (Over/Under): 238.5 points
- Watch the game on GCSE | WVUE | NSCA
The New Orleans Pelicans visit Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EST in Sacramento, CA, USA.
The Kings are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The Pelicans vs Kings Over/Under is 238.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 20-30 against the spread, while the Kings are 19-29 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Kings Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| New Orleans Pelicans | +7.5 -110 | O 238.5 -105 | +240 |
| Sacramento Kings | -7.5 -110 | U 238.5 -115 | -300 |
Kings vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Kings will win Saturday‘s game with 78.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Kings.
Kings vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 54.5% confidence.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 games (+9.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+9.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.00 Units / 18% ROI)
Kings Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 50 of their last 84 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 4Q Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+8.98 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have covered the 2Q Spread in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+8.87 Units / 20% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 20-30 (-12.95 Units / -23.1% ROI).
- 12-39 against the Moneyline (-27.85 Units / -40.45% ROI)
- 29-21 against the Over for game total points (+5.9 Units / 10.52% ROI)
- 21-29 against the Under for game total points (-10.9 Units / -19.43% ROI)
Sacramento Kings Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Kings have gone 19-29 (-12.9 Units / -22.99% ROI).
- 25-26 against the Moneyline (-15.75 Units / -12.48% ROI)
- 27-23 against the Over for game total points (+1.7 Units / 3.03% ROI)
- 23-27 against the Under for game total points (-6.75 Units / -12.02% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Kings:
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 46 games (-27.40 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 84 games (-23.72 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 79 games (-23.50 Units / -11% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 46 games (-18.70 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Sacramento Kings have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 46 games (-18.67 Units / -35% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 66 games (-38.15 Units / -38% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 88 games (-24.70 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 85 games (-22.52 Units / -23% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 71 games (-20.25 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 59 games (-17.94 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Sacramento Kings
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Sacramento Kings
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Sacramento Kings Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Sacramento Kings
The Pelicans are 2-6 (.250) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .553
The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .286
The Pelicans are 2-20 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .351
The Pelicans are 14-38 (.269) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-worst in the NBA. The Kings have made 13.6 three-pointers per game since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-6th-highest in the NBA.
Sacramento Kings: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Kings are winless (0-8) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .189
The Kings were 30-10 (.750) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566
The Kings are 26-4 (.867) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .825
The Kings were 16-7 (.696) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (92/226) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%
The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans have averaged 18.4 offensive rebounds per game (939 rebounds/51 games) this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
Sacramento Kings Offensive Stats & Trends
The Kings have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,360 assists/ 666 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Kings had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.2 (2,324 assists/ 1,078 TOs) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Kings averaged 50.5 points in the paint per game (2,072 points/41 games) on the road last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 49.7
The Kings averaged 116.6 points per game (9,558 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 114.3
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (620 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (280 blocks/51 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Pelicans have allowed 54.4 points in the paint per game (2,776 points/51 games) this season — 2nd highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 48.6
Sacramento Kings Defensive Stats & Trends
The Kings allowed 10.9 second chance points per game (891 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.8
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (366 blocks/94 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings have averaged 3.9 blocks per game (739 blocks/189 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Kings allowed 10.6 second chance points per game (436 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 14.0
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