Pelicans vs Lakers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Mar. 4

  • The Lakers are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5 points
  • Watch the game on GCSE | SPEC

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Crypto.com Arena to take on the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EST in Los Angeles, CA, USA.

The Lakers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-105).

The Pelicans vs Lakers Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 25-35 against the spread, while the Lakers are 33-25 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Lakers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+9.5 -115O 229.5 -115+340
Los Angeles Lakers -9.5 -105U 229.5 -105-450

Lakers vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Lakers will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Lakers.

Lakers vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.8% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 35 of their last 56 games (+10.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 30 of their last 49 games (+9.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 38 games (+7.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1H Moneyline in 50 of their last 73 games (+25.40 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have covered the 1H Spread in 43 of their last 66 games (+17.27 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 79 games (+17.25 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 31 games at home (+16.57 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 19 games (+13.20 Units / 42% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 25-35 (-13.45 Units / -20.06% ROI).

  • 17-44 against the Moneyline (-24.8 Units / -30.47% ROI)
  • 35-25 against the Over for game total points (+7.5 Units / 11.18% ROI)
  • 25-35 against the Under for game total points (-13.5 Units / -20.12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Lakers have gone 33-25 (+5.5 Units / 8.48% ROI).

  • 38-21 against the Moneyline (+8.75 Units / 6.82% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Over for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.64% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Under for game total points (+2.25 Units / 3.46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 25 of their last 67 games (-23.32 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 3Q Spread in 26 of their last 68 games (-22.45 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 74 games (-21.02 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 70 games (-18.52 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Lakers have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 56 games (-17.52 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 76 games (-35.10 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 87 games (-23.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 78 games (-23.40 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.37 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 69 games (-21.89 Units / -28% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Lakers

The Pelicans are 2-7 (.222) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Pelicans are 3-18 (.143) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .413

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans were 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .646

Los Angeles Lakers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Lakers are 15-5 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539

The Lakers are 7-2 (.778) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Lakers are 40-18 (.690) when attempting 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Lakers are 36-31 (.537) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 39% from three (117/297) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% in the first half this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

The Pelicans averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,436 points/7,164 shots) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

The Pelicans averaged 26% free throw attempts for every field goal attempt (1,873 free throw attempts/7,164 field goal attempts) last season — 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

Los Angeles Lakers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 4.7 second chance points per game (384 points/82 games) in the second half last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.1

The Lakers averaged 30.1 points in the paint per game (2,470 points/82 games) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.4

The Lakers averaged 10.5 second chance points per game (860 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8

The Lakers have averaged 28.9 points in the paint per game (4,078 points/141 games) in the first half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.1

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 33.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,046 rebounds/61 games) this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pelicans have averaged 9.3 steals per game (652 steals/70 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 54% on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans have averaged 5.5 blocks per game (333 blocks/61 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

Los Angeles Lakers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Lakers averaged 37.2 defensive rebounds per game (3,047 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Lakers have averaged 7.8 steals per game (458 steals/59 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Lakers have averaged 7.5 steals per game (1,063 steals/141 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Lakers have averaged 35.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,077 rebounds/59 games) this season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4


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