- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The New Orleans Pelicans visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pelicans vs Mavericks Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 22-32 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 28-26 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| New Orleans Pelicans | O | ||
| Dallas Mavericks | U |
Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Friday‘s game with 73.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Mavericks.
Mavericks vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 66.0% confidence.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+10.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Mavericks Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 98 games (+19.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 4Q Spread in 58 of their last 97 games (+17.48 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 49 games at home (+15.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have covered the Spread in 56 of their last 98 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 22-32 (-13.15 Units / -21.75% ROI).
- 13-42 against the Moneyline (-28 Units / -38.44% ROI)
- 32-22 against the Over for game total points (+7.8 Units / 12.89% ROI)
- 22-32 against the Under for game total points (-13.2 Units / -21.82% ROI)
Dallas Mavericks Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 28-26 (-0.6 Units / -0.97% ROI).
- 30-26 against the Moneyline (+8.4 Units / 6.87% ROI)
- 30-26 against the Over for game total points (+1.4 Units / 2.27% ROI)
- 26-30 against the Under for game total points (-7 Units / -11.36% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Mavericks:
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 49 games at home (-26.20 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 100 games (-24.17 Units / -21% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 49 games at home (-23.17 Units / -41% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 1Q Spread in 18 of their last 49 games at home (-16.60 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 45 games at home (-16.18 Units / -31% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 70 games (-38.30 Units / -37% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 88 games (-25.97 Units / -26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 31 of their last 81 games (-23.20 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 29 of their last 75 games (-20.45 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 63 games (-19.59 Units / -27% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Dallas Mavericks
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Dallas Mavericks
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Dallas Mavericks Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks
The Pelicans are 2-18 (.100) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .410
The Pelicans are 1-18 (.053) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .295
The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549
The Pelicans were 19-6 (.760) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Mavericks are 18-3 (.857) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — T-3rd-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 37% from three this season — 9th-worst in the NBA.
The Mavericks are 16-5 (.762) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 6th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have averaged 51.1 rebounds/game this season — 7th-lowest in the NBA.
The Mavericks are winless (0-12) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .179
The Mavericks are 18-3 (.857) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .703
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (103/256) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 34%
The Pelicans have averaged 18.1 offensive rebounds per game (998 rebounds/55 games) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 17.0
The Pelicans have an eFG% of 56% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 53%
The Pelicans have averaged 19.1 fast break points per game (534 points/28 games) at home this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.7
Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have averaged 6.0 turnovers per game (1,131 turnovers/188 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9
The Mavericks had an assist to turnover ratio of 2.5 (240 assists/ 95 TOs) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Mavericks are shooting 48% (2,370/4,945) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Mavericks had a TS% of 53% last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have allowed 19.3 fast break points per game (1,060 points/55 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 15.5
The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (638 steals/68 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 54% on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 51%
Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends
The Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three (404/1,027) on the road this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%
The Mavericks have averaged 7.4 steals per game (1,016 steals/138 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Mavericks have averaged 6.8 steals per game (1,285 steals/188 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Mavericks have blocked 751 shots since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th most among NBA teams
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