Pelicans vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 13

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Dallas Mavericks logo on the left and New Orleans Pelicans logo on the right
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 13, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Mavericks are -2.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSW | BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit American Airlines Center to take on the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in Dallas, TX.

The Mavericks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Mavericks Over/Under is 229.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 22-16 against the spread, while the Mavericks are 22-17 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Mavericks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+3.5 -110O 229.5 -110+140
Dallas Mavericks -3.5 -110U 229.5 -110-165

Mavericks vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Mavericks will win Saturday‘s game with 59.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pelicans and Mavericks, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Mavericks vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Saturday‘s game with 52.3% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 59 games (+30.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 41 of their last 59 games (+22.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 37 of their last 53 games (+20.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 76 games (+19.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 2Q Spread in 35 of their last 53 games (+15.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+14.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the Team Total Over in 43 of their last 68 games (+14.00 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+12.80 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.05 Units / 29% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 22-16 (+4.45 Units / 10.39% ROI).

  • 23-16 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 3.99% ROI)
  • 19-20 against the Over for game total points (-3 Units / -6.99% ROI)
  • 20-19 against the Under for game total points (-0.9 Units / -2.1% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Mavericks have gone 22-17 (+3.35 Units / 7.82% ROI).

  • 23-16 against the Moneyline (+0.85 Units / 1.14% ROI)
  • 22-16 against the Over for game total points (+4.4 Units / 10.23% ROI)
  • 16-22 against the Under for game total points (-8.1 Units / -18.93% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (-32.75 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 78 games (-24.85 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (-22.70 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 25 of their last 69 games (-20.10 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Dallas Mavericks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 37 games at home (-16.90 Units / -41% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 80 games (-27.80 Units / -31% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.10 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.80 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 33 of their last 80 games (-17.40 Units / -19% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Mavericks

The Pelicans are 16-6 (.727) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Mavericks have averaged 50.7 rebounds/game this season — 6th-lowest in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 12-6 (.667) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .551

The Pelicans were 22-14 (.611) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pelicans were 10-8 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Dallas Mavericks: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Mavericks are undefeated (13-0) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .784

The Mavericks are 3-7 (.300) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .406

The Mavericks are 5-1 (.833) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572

The Mavericks were 13-24 (.351) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

Injury Report: Mavericks vs. PelicansSaturday‘s Game, Jan. 13

  • Grant Williams (Dallas Mavericks): Knee, Game Time Decision
  • Josh Green (Dallas Mavericks): Elbow, Out
  • Maxi Kleber (Dallas Mavericks): Toe, Game Time Decision
  • Matt Ryan (New Orleans Pelicans): Elbow, Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans): Ribs, Out

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (238/598) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.0 (1,047 assists/ 525 TOs) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pelicans have 24.7 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 23.0

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Dallas Mavericks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks have averaged 5.9 turnovers per game (719 turnovers/121 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.9

The Mavericks averaged 42.8 points in the paint per game (3,510 points/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Mavericks averaged 40.7 points in the paint per game (1,668 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Mavericks averaged 9.9 fast break points per game (404 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (733/2,270) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (246/779) in the first half this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (324 steals/39 games) this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Dallas Mavericks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Mavericks averaged 33.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,774 rebounds/82 games) last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Mavericks have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (1,341 rebounds/39 games) this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Mavericks averaged 3.7 blocks per game (304 blocks/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Mavericks have averaged 6.2 steals per game (373 steals/60 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3


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