- The Nuggets are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
- Total (Over/Under): 241.5 points
- Watch the game on GCSE | ALT | KTVD
The New Orleans Pelicans visit Ball Arena to take on the Denver Nuggets on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EST in Denver, CO, USA.
The Nuggets are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Pelicans vs Nuggets Over/Under is 242.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 20-28 against the spread, while the Nuggets are 23-25 against the spread.
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Pelicans vs. Nuggets Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| New Orleans Pelicans | +10.5 -110 | O 242.5 -110 | +400 |
| Denver Nuggets | -10.5 -110 | U 242.5 -110 | -550 |
Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Nuggets will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Nuggets.
Nuggets vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Nuggets will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 70.0% confidence.
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Pelicans Best Bets for Tonight:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 49 of their last 83 games (+9.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Nuggets Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Denver Nuggets have covered the 3Q Spread in 32 of their last 43 games at home (+19.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 games at home (+18.37 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 47 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+12.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 28 of their last 44 games at home (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
New Orleans Pelicans Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 20-28 (-10.75 Units / -19.96% ROI).
- 12-37 against the Moneyline (-25.85 Units / -38.67% ROI)
- 28-20 against the Over for game total points (+6 Units / 11.13% ROI)
- 20-28 against the Under for game total points (-10.8 Units / -20.04% ROI)
Denver Nuggets Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Nuggets have gone 23-25 (-4.5 Units / -8.35% ROI).
- 30-19 against the Moneyline (-3.95 Units / -3.14% ROI)
- 31-18 against the Over for game total points (+11.2 Units / 20.78% ROI)
- 18-31 against the Under for game total points (-16.1 Units / -29.87% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Nuggets:
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 46 of their last 93 games (-34.35 Units / -16% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 28 of their last 64 games (-30.20 Units / -29% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only covered the 1H Spread in 26 of their last 71 games (-25.95 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 41 of their last 84 games (-24.00 Units / -18% ROI)
- The Denver Nuggets have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 36 of their last 88 games (-19.88 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pelicans:
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 64 games (-36.15 Units / -37% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 86 games (-24.50 Units / -25% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 34 of their last 83 games (-22.37 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 27 of their last 69 games (-18.05 Units / -24% ROI)
- The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 57 games (-16.94 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the New Orleans Pelicans
- Keys to Winning for the Denver Nuggets
- Player Injuries for New Orleans Pelicans vs. Denver Nuggets
- New Orleans Pelicans Offensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Offensive stats
- New Orleans Pelicans Defensive stats
- Denver Nuggets Defensive stats
New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Denver Nuggets
The Pelicans are 2-15 (.118) when they lose the turnover margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .403
The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA. The Nuggets have shot 38% from three this season — T-4th-best in the NBA.
The Pelicans are 3-20 (.130) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449
The Pelicans are 2-18 (.100) when their eFG is 50% or worse this season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .174
Denver Nuggets: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans
The Nuggets are 29-7 (.806) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .585
The Nuggets are 41-14 (.745) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .539
The Nuggets were 13-1 (.929) when forcing 10 or more steals last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .572
The Nuggets were 20-8 (.714) when allowing 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .448
New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% on the road this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (89/222) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%
The Pelicans have a TS% of 49% this season — 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%
The Pelicans have averaged 1.22 points per shot (5,380 points/4,426 shots) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.27
Denver Nuggets Offensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 10.5 fast break points per game (513 points/49 games) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.9
The Nuggets have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.7 (176 assists/ 65 TOs) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.7
The Nuggets are shooting 49% (2,786/5,633) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Nuggets are shooting 51% (2,219/4,391) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (620 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
The Pelicans have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,609 rebounds/49 games) this season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Pelicans have averaged 34.6 defensive rebounds per game (4,533 rebounds/131 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3
The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%
Denver Nuggets Defensive Stats & Trends
The Nuggets have averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,804 rebounds/49 games) this season — tied for 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Nuggets blocked 457 shots last season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Nuggets averaged 35.9 defensive rebounds per game (2,946 rebounds/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Nuggets averaged 7.1 steals per game (585 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
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