Pelicans vs Pacers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 28

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Feb 28, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Pacers are -5.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 239.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSIN | BSNO | ESPN

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Pacers are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Pelicans vs Pacers Over/Under is 237.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 32-26 against the spread, while the Pacers are 31-26 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Pacers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+6.5 -105O 237.5 -110+220
Indiana Pacers -6.5 -115U 237.5 -110-275

Pacers vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pacers will win Wednesday‘s game with 72.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Pacers.

Pacers vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pacers will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 55.4% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 55 of their last 79 games (+36.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 79 games (+18.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 46 of their last 73 games (+17.35 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+15.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 48 of their last 80 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 48 of their last 78 games (+16.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 20 of their last 25 games (+14.65 Units / 53% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 games at home (+14.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have covered the 3Q Spread in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+14.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 39 games at home (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 32-26 (+3.45 Units / 5.32% ROI).

  • 35-24 against the Moneyline (+5.55 Units / 4.48% ROI)
  • 27-32 against the Over for game total points (-8.2 Units / -12.63% ROI)
  • 32-27 against the Under for game total points (+2.3 Units / 3.54% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pacers have gone 31-26 (+2.4 Units / 3.64% ROI).

  • 33-27 against the Moneyline (-3 Units / -2.66% ROI)
  • 32-26 against the Over for game total points (+3.35 Units / 5.07% ROI)
  • 26-32 against the Under for game total points (-9.15 Units / -13.88% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 49 games (-24.90 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-23.15 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 31 of their last 80 games (-22.80 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 32 of their last 80 games (-19.80 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Indiana Pacers have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 38 games at home (-17.25 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 32 of their last 80 games (-20.50 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 80 games (-18.70 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 79 games (-13.55 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 2 of their last 15 games (-12.05 Units / -74% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 64 games (-9.85 Units / -11% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indiana Pacers

The Pelicans are 10-1 (.909) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .631

The Pelicans are 22-8 (.733) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

The Pelicans are 22-9 (.710) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .574

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

Indiana Pacers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Pacers are 17-7 (.708) when making 15 or more three-pointers this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game this season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

The Pacers are 2-7 (.222) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .420

The Pacers are 10-28 (.263) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .328

The Pacers are 16-4 (.800) when winning the rebounding margin this season — 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .647

Injury Report: Pacers vs. PelicansWednesday‘s Game, Feb. 28

  • Aaron Nesmith (Indiana Pacers): Ankle, Game Time Decision
  • Jalen Smith (Indiana Pacers): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans are shooting 40% from three (364/904) in the first half this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (6,272 points/4,740 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30

The Pelicans are shooting 49% (2,310/4,740) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pelicans averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Indiana Pacers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 30.9 assists per game (1,698 assists/55 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 26.7

The Pacers averaged 18.1 fast break points per game (1,481 points/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Pacers have averaged 17.3 fast break points per game (2,369 points/137 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pacers averaged 3.1 fast break points per game (204 points/66 games) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (839/2,578) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,719/5,043) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

Indiana Pacers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pacers have averaged 32.8 defensive rebounds per game (1,805 rebounds/55 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Pacers averaged 5.8 blocks per game (478 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pacers have allowed 59.3 points in the paint per game (3,262 points/55 games) this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.7

The Pacers averaged 33.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,730 rebounds/82 games) last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.