Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Feb. 10

  • The are favorites vs. the
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on GCSE | FDOK

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Monday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK, USA.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Thunder Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 21-30 against the spread, while the Thunder are 31-18 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Oklahoma City Thunder U

Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Monday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Thunder.

Thunder vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Thunder will cover the spread for Monday‘s game with 59.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+10.45 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.35 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 25 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 70 of their last 92 games (+20.70 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 41 of their last 66 games (+16.80 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 68 games (+16.65 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 20 of their last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 21-30 (-11.95 Units / -20.91% ROI).

  • 12-40 against the Moneyline (-28.85 Units / -41.3% ROI)
  • 30-21 against the Over for game total points (+6.9 Units / 12.06% ROI)
  • 21-30 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -20.98% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 31-18 (+11.2 Units / 19.58% ROI).

  • 42-10 against the Moneyline (+13 Units / 4.7% ROI)
  • 28-23 against the Over for game total points (+2.7 Units / 4.72% ROI)
  • 23-28 against the Under for game total points (-7.8 Units / -13.64% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 68 games (-15.40 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 92 games (-15.13 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 40 of their last 87 games (-14.30 Units / -14% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 19 of their last 48 games (-14.25 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 27 of their last 44 games at home (-14.05 Units / -9% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 67 games (-39.15 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 34 of their last 88 games (-24.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 86 games (-23.67 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 28 of their last 72 games (-19.25 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 19 of their last 60 games (-16.59 Units / -24% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 2-6 (.250) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .559

The Pelicans are 2-20 (.091) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353

The Pelicans are 1-17 (.056) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .289

The Pelicans were 30-14 (.682) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder are 41-9 (.820) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .560

The Thunder were 23-5 (.821) when allowing fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .604

The Thunder are 26-9 (.743) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .457

The Thunder are 17-1 (.944) when shooting 50% or better from the field this season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 48% this season — 2nd-worst in the NBA.

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have a TS% of 47% on the road this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Pelicans are shooting 41% from three (94/231) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans are shooting 35% from three (641/1,835) this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have averaged 15.2 second chance points per game (793 points/52 games) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder have 19.6 free throw attempts per game this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.7

The Thunder have averaged 12.0 turnovers per game (611 turnovers/51 games) this season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.5

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 32.9 defensive rebounds per game (1,709 rebounds/52 games) this season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (684 steals/82 games) last season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans have averaged 9.4 steals per game (620 steals/66 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 11.0 steals per game (561 steals/51 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.4 steals per game (1,255 steals/133 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 43% (874/2,044) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (301/933) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%


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