Pelicans vs Thunder Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 13, 2024, 3:30 PM
  • The Thunder are -14.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN | FDOK

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Paycom Center to take on the Oklahoma City Thunder on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Oklahoma City, OK.

The Thunder are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Thunder Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 2-9 against the spread, while the Thunder are 7-4 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Thunder Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+14.5 -110O 224.5 -105+725
Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5 -110U 224.5 -115-1200

Thunder vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Thunder will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Thunder.

Thunder vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 64.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 89 games (+21.15 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 54 of their last 89 games (+15.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 53 of their last 89 games (+14.01 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 40 away games (+13.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+13.25 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 46 games at home (+24.30 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+14.10 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 4Q Spread in 52 of their last 93 games (+10.27 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the 2Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+9.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have covered the Spread in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 2-9 (-7.9 Units / -65.29% ROI).

  • 3-8 against the Moneyline (-6.35 Units / -41.37% ROI)
  • 7-3 against the Over for game total points (+3.7 Units / 30.58% ROI)
  • 3-7 against the Under for game total points (-4.7 Units / -38.84% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Thunder have gone 7-4 (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • 9-2 against the Moneyline (+3.95 Units / 8.82% ROI)
  • 6-5 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 5-6 against the Under for game total points (-1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 92 games (-19.23 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 79 games (-15.05 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 73 games (-14.10 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 63 games (-13.98 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Oklahoma City Thunder have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 79 games (-13.45 Units / -15% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 89 games (-24.70 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 30 of their last 75 games (-21.85 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 86 games (-21.75 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 74 games (-18.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 89 games (-17.10 Units / -17% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder

The Pelicans are 34-13 (.723) when winning the rebounding margin since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-8th-best in the NBA. The Thunder have averaged 49.4 rebounds/game since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th-lowest in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans were 28-14 (.667) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .566

The Pelicans were 43-15 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659

Oklahoma City Thunder: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Thunder were undefeated (9-0) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

The Thunder are 28-6 (.824) when forcing 10 or more steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .573

The Thunder are 20-7 (.741) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .465

The Thunder were 15-19 (.441) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

Injury Report: Thunder vs. PelicansWednesday‘s Game, Nov. 13

  • Oklahoma City Thunder – No Injuries Reported
  • New Orleans Pelicans – No Injuries Reported

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans shot 41% from three (567/1,401) in the first half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,196 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pelicans shot 38% from three (1,023/2,673) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Offensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder shot 41% from three (558/1,378) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Thunder had a TS% of 55% in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

The Thunder shot 39% from three (120/305) in close and late situations last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Thunder have a TS% of 54% in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 51%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 30.9 defensive rebounds per game (340 rebounds/11 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,118/3,344) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 8.8 steals per game (406 steals/46 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pelicans have allowed a TS% of 56% at home this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50%

Oklahoma City Thunder Defensive Stats & Trends

The Thunder have averaged 12.4 steals per game (136 steals/11 games) this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.3

The Thunder have averaged 9.5 steals per game (435 steals/46 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Thunder have averaged 7.1 blocks per game (336 blocks/47 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 41% (180/441) on the road this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 47%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.