Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 09, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pelicans are -12.5 favorites vs. the Trail Blazers
  • Total (Over/Under): 212.5 points
  • Watch the game on RTNW | BSNO

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Moda Center at the Rose Quarter to take on the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in Portland, OR.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-110).

The Pelicans vs Trail Blazers Over/Under is 213.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 41-35 against the spread, while the Trail Blazers are 37-39 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-13.5 -110O 213.5 -110-1000
Portland Trail Blazers +13.5 -110U 213.5 -110+625

Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Tuesday‘s game with 80.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Trail Blazers.

Trail Blazers vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Trail Blazers will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 54.0% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 56 of their last 80 games (+32.25 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 50 of their last 74 games (+22.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 80 games (+17.35 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 30 away games (+16.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 31 of their last 46 games (+15.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+12.45 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 41-35 (+2.5 Units / 2.91% ROI).

  • 46-32 against the Moneyline (+1.3 Units / 0.72% ROI)
  • 34-44 against the Over for game total points (-14.4 Units / -16.78% ROI)
  • 44-34 against the Under for game total points (+6.6 Units / 7.69% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Trail Blazers have gone 37-39 (-5.9 Units / -6.88% ROI).

  • 21-57 against the Moneyline (-12.95 Units / -15.68% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Over for game total points (-3.9 Units / -4.54% ROI)
  • 39-39 against the Under for game total points (-3.85 Units / -4.49% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 77 games (-23.45 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 68 games (-22.35 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 24 of their last 79 games (-19.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 30 games (-18.25 Units / -58% ROI)
  • The Portland Trail Blazers have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 58 games (-17.85 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 68 games (-22.55 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 65 games (-20.35 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 67 games (-14.90 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 54 games (-14.70 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 80 games (-14.40 Units / -16% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Portland Trail Blazers

The Pelicans are 25-13 (.658) when scoring 15 or more fastbreak points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .563

The Pelicans were 22-14 (.611) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Pelicans were 14-20 (.412) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .456

The Pelicans were 4-17 (.190) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

Portland Trail Blazers: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Trail Blazers were 15-31 (.326) when they lose the turnover margin last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Trail Blazers are 3-13 (.188) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .536

The Trail Blazers are 2-18 (.100) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .313

The Trail Blazers are 14-30 (.318) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .550

Injury Report: Trail Blazers vs. PelicansTuesday‘s Game, Apr. 9

  • Scoot Henderson (Portland Trail Blazers): Groin, Out
  • Rayan Rupert (Portland Trail Blazers): Ankle, Out
  • Moses Brown (Portland Trail Blazers): Wrist, Out
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Portland Trail Blazers): Abdomen, Out
  • Malcolm Brogdon (Portland Trail Blazers): Elbow, Out
  • Robert Williams (Portland Trail Blazers): Knee, Out For Season
  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Pelicans have averaged 51.7 points in the paint per game (4,030 points/78 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.3

The Pelicans have an assist to turnover ratio of 2.1 (2,100 assists/ 1,017 TOs) this season — tied for 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (8,969 points/6,815 shots) this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

Portland Trail Blazers Offensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,806 assists/ 1,189 TOs) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Trail Blazers are shooting 44% (1,482/3,365) in the second half this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Trail Blazers have an eFG% of 51% this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 35.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,789 rebounds/78 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,021/3,066) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (369 blocks/78 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Pelicans have averaged 8.3 steals per game (645 steals/78 games) this season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Portland Trail Blazers Defensive Stats & Trends

The Trail Blazers have averaged 32.5 defensive rebounds per game (2,534 rebounds/78 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Trail Blazers have allowed opponents to shoot 26% from three (82/317) in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 35%

The Trail Blazers have allowed an eFG% of 47% in close and late situations this season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 53%

The Trail Blazers have averaged 4.4 blocks per game (341 blocks/78 games) this season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1


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