Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2024, 4:32 PM
  • The Warriors are -4.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5 points
  • Watch the game on NSBA | WVUE

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Pelicans vs Warriors Over/Under is 220.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 42-36 against the spread, while the Warriors are 43-36 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+3.5 -105O 220.5 -105+150
Golden State Warriors -3.5 -115U 220.5 -115-185

Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Friday‘s game with 66.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Warriors.

Warriors vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Friday‘s game with 51.6% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 56 of their last 81 games (+27.05 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 52 of their last 76 games (+24.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 32 away games (+18.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 50 of their last 81 games (+16.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1Q Spread in 32 of their last 48 games (+15.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 37 of their last 63 games (+9.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 42 of their last 73 games (+7.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 42-36 (+2.4 Units / 2.73% ROI).

  • 48-32 against the Moneyline (+3.3 Units / 1.74% ROI)
  • 35-45 against the Over for game total points (-14.5 Units / -16.48% ROI)
  • 45-35 against the Under for game total points (+6.5 Units / 7.39% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 43-36 (+3.4 Units / 3.86% ROI).

  • 45-35 against the Moneyline (-6.3 Units / -3.47% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Over for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 40-40 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 40 of their last 93 games (-20.80 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 32 of their last 77 games (-18.55 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 44 games at home (-16.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 37 games (-13.40 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 62 games (-12.40 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 70 games (-22.70 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 67 games (-19.35 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 34 of their last 78 games (-16.50 Units / -18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 16 of their last 44 games (-16.10 Units / -32% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-15.00 Units / -20% ROI)

Jump to:

New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Pelicans are 42-15 (.737) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 116.5 points per game this season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 10-8 (.556) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Pelicans are undefeated (15-0) when forcing their opponent to shoot 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: .882

The Pelicans are 25-7 (.781) when shooting 40% or better from three this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .683

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Warriors are winless (0-12) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .118

The Warriors were 8-12 (.400) when scoring fewer than 10 fastbreak points last season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .444

The Warriors are 7-3 (.700) when their opponent attempts fewer than 15 free throws this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .545

The Warriors are 9-3 (.750) when scoring fewer than 10 second chance points this season — tied for 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .467

Injury Report: Warriors vs. PelicansFriday‘s Game, Apr. 12

  • Chris Paul (Golden State Warriors): Hand, Out
  • Jose Alvarado (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
  • Brandon Ingram (New Orleans Pelicans): Illness, Game Time Decision
  • Dyson Daniels (New Orleans Pelicans): Knee, Out
  • CJ McCollum (New Orleans Pelicans): Ankle, Out
  • Naji Marshall (New Orleans Pelicans): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 51.5 points in the paint per game (4,122 points/80 games) this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.2

The Pelicans have 23.0 free throw attempts per game this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.8

The Pelicans are shooting 32% from three (68/215) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

The Pelicans have a 26% free throw rate (1,843 free throw attempts/6,988 field goal attempts) this season — 7th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 24%

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,035/3,104) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 35.7 defensive rebounds per game (2,857 rebounds/80 games) this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pelicans averaged 4.1 blocks per game (337 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Pelicans have averaged 4.7 blocks per game (373 blocks/80 games) this season — tied for 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 7.0 steals per game (556 steals/80 games) this season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Warriors have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (366 blocks/80 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.7 defensive rebounds per game (5,941 rebounds/162 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.3


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.