Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jan 10, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Pelicans are -1.5 favorites vs. the Warriors
  • Total (Over/Under): 233.5 points
  • Watch the game on ABC | BSNO | NSBA

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30pm EST in San Francisco, CA.

The Pelicans are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Pelicans vs Warriors Over/Under is 233.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 21-15 against the spread, while the Warriors are 17-19 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans-2.5 -105O 233.5 -105-135
Golden State Warriors +2.5 -115U 233.5 -115+110

Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in recent team & player performances for the Pelicans and Warriors, plus player injuries and defensive & offensive matchups.

Warriors vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Warriors will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 54.3% confidence.


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  • Away – Positive ATS Trends
  • Home – Positive ATS Trends

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 21-15 (+4.5 Units / 11.06% ROI).

  • 22-15 against the Moneyline (+2.75 Units / 4.13% ROI)
  • 17-20 against the Over for game total points (-5 Units / -12.29% ROI)
  • 20-17 against the Under for game total points (+1.3 Units / 3.19% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 17-19 (-3.9 Units / -9.86% ROI).

  • 17-19 against the Moneyline (-5.4 Units / -7.38% ROI)
  • 21-15 against the Over for game total points (+4.5 Units / 11.38% ROI)
  • 15-21 against the Under for game total points (-8.15 Units / -20.55% ROI)
  • Home – Negative ATS Trends
  • Away – Negative ATS Trends

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Pelicans are 12-3 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

The Pelicans are 13-6 (.684) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent this season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .558

The Pelicans are 21-7 (.750) when scoring 110 or more points this season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .635

The Pelicans were 13-2 (.867) when their eFG is 60% or better last season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .808

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors were 24-11 (.686) when scoring more second chance points than their opponent last season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .544

The Warriors were 6-23 (.207) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers last season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .298

The Warriors were 2-21 (.087) when allowing their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the field last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .263

Injury Report: Warriors vs. PelicansWednesday‘s Game, Jan. 10

  • Gary Payton II (Golden State Warriors): Calf, Out
  • Usman Garuba (Golden State Warriors): Finger, Out
  • Matt Ryan (New Orleans Pelicans): Elbow, Out
  • Larry Nance Jr. (New Orleans Pelicans): Ribs, Out

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have averaged 1.32 points per shot (4,284 points/3,242 shots) this season — tied for 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.29

The Pelicans averaged 14.6 turnovers per game (1,196 turnovers/82 games) last season — tied for 9th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.1

The Pelicans have a 28% free throw rate (923 free throw attempts/3,242 field goal attempts) this season — tied for 5th highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 26%

The Pelicans averaged 14.7 fast break points per game (1,206 points/82 games) last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 30.5 assists per game (1,250 assists/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.6

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 32% from three (716/2,234) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (487/1,491) in the first half last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans have averaged 4.9 blocks per game (180 blocks/37 games) this season — tied for 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (128 blocks/36 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2

The Warriors averaged 36.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,999 rebounds/82 games) last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors have averaged 36.0 defensive rebounds per game (1,296 rebounds/36 games) this season — 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.1

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.