Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Oct. 30

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 30, 2024, 5:55 PM
  • The Warriors are -3.5 favorites vs. the Pelicans
  • Total (Over/Under): 218.5 points
  • Watch the game on GCSE | NSBA

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Chase Center to take on the Golden State Warriors on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.

The Warriors are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).

The Pelicans vs Warriors Over/Under is 218.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 1-3 against the spread, while the Warriors are 3-1 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Warriors Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans+3.5 -115O 218.5 -110+125
Golden State Warriors -3.5 -105U 218.5 -110-155

Warriors vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Warriors will win Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Warriors.

Warriors vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 53.5% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 57 of their last 88 games (+20.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 55 of their last 88 games (+18.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 61 games (+15.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 away games (+15.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 1H Spread in 49 of their last 82 games (+12.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the 3Q Spread in 33 of their last 55 games (+12.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 44 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have covered the Spread in 40 of their last 70 games (+8.10 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.40 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.95 Units / 20% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 1-3 (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI).

  • 2-2 against the Moneyline (-1.8 Units / -21.95% ROI)
  • 3-1 against the Over for game total points (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI)
  • 1-3 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Warriors have gone 3-1 (+1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI).

  • 3-1 against the Moneyline (-0.85 Units / -8.25% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Over for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • 2-2 against the Under for game total points (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 games at home (-20.40 Units / -27% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 36 of their last 84 games (-18.00 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 69 games (-16.25 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 1H Spread in 15 of their last 42 games at home (-16.25 Units / -33% ROI)
  • The Golden State Warriors have only covered the 4Q Spread in 36 of their last 81 games (-15.90 Units / -17% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 82 games (-26.40 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 68 games (-22.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 90 games (-19.45 Units / -19% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 2Q Spread in 21 of their last 57 games (-18.25 Units / -28% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 79 games (-17.90 Units / -20% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Golden State Warriors

The Pelicans were 18-3 (.857) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season — T-best in the NBA. The Warriors allowed 13.4 made three-pointers per game last season — T-8th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans were 28-7 (.800) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: .549

The Pelicans were 43-15 (.741) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Warriors allowed 116.5 points per game last season — 10th-worst in the NBA.

The Pelicans are 26-5 (.839) when making 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2022-23 season — 2nd-best in the NBA. The Warriors have allowed 13.1 made three-pointers per game since the start of the 2022-23 season — T-6th-worst in the NBA.

Golden State Warriors: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Warriors were 1-16 (.059) when allowing an eFG of 60% or better last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .188

The Warriors were 7-11 (.389) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .543

The Warriors were 19-11 (.633) when scoring 15 or more second chance points last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .531

The Warriors were 17-7 (.708) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .554

Injury Report: Warriors vs. PelicansWednesday‘s Game, Oct. 30

  • Golden State Warriors – No Injuries Reported
  • New Orleans Pelicans – No Injuries Reported

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Pelicans averaged 53.3 points in the paint per game (4,372 points/82 games) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 50.5

The Pelicans shot 40% from three (532/1,339) on the road last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 36%

The Pelicans averaged 1.32 points per shot (9,436 points/7,164 shots) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28

Golden State Warriors Offensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 29.8 assists per game (2,446 assists/82 games) last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.3

The Warriors made 16.6 three-pointers per game last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.3

The Warriors averaged 8.2 turnovers per game (673 turnovers/82 games) in the second half last season — highest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.0

The Warriors averaged 14.4 assists per game (1,181 assists/82 games) in the second half last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.0

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 33% from three (1,072/3,218) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans averaged 8.3 steals per game (681 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3

The Pelicans have averaged 8.5 steals per game (699 steals/82 games) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — 3rd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

The Pelicans stole the ball 684 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Golden State Warriors Defensive Stats & Trends

The Warriors averaged 4.6 blocks per game (377 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Warriors averaged 36.8 defensive rebounds per game (3,018 rebounds/82 games) last season — 4th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Warriors averaged 3.9 blocks per game (323 blocks/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7

The Warriors averaged 7.0 steals per game (572 steals/82 games) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.