Pelicans vs Wizards Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Jan. 5

  • The Pelicans are -4.5 favorites vs. the Wizards
  • Total (Over/Under): 234.5 points
  • Watch the game on GCSE | MNMT

The New Orleans Pelicans visit Capital One Arena to take on the Washington Wizards on Sunday. Tipoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST in Washington, DC.

The are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pelicans vs Wizards Over/Under is total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pelicans are 13-22 against the spread, while the Wizards are 12-18 against the spread.


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Pelicans vs. Wizards Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
New Orleans Pelicans O
Washington Wizards U

Wizards vs Pelicans Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Pelicans will win Sunday‘s game with 78.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pelicans and Wizards.

Wizards vs Pelicans Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pelicans will cover the spread for Sunday‘s game with 60.2% confidence.


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  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 52 of their last 87 games (+11.50 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 away games (+10.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 86 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have covered the 4Q Spread in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.00 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+7.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 4Q Spread in 45 of their last 73 games (+14.68 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 38 of their last 73 games (+13.10 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+11.30 Units / 66% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have covered the 1Q Spread in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.10 Units / 36% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pelicans have gone 13-22 (-11.2 Units / -29.09% ROI).

  • 6-29 against the Moneyline (-24.3 Units / -58.77% ROI)
  • 20-14 against the Over for game total points (+4.6 Units / 11.95% ROI)
  • 14-20 against the Under for game total points (-8 Units / -20.78% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Wizards have gone 12-18 (-7.8 Units / -22.16% ROI).

  • 6-26 against the Moneyline (-11.35 Units / -35.47% ROI)
  • 17-15 against the Over for game total points (+0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI)
  • 15-17 against the Under for game total points (-3.75 Units / -10.64% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 3Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 76 games (-30.34 Units / -39% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 61 games (-27.95 Units / -45% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 81 games (-25.55 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only covered the 2Q Spread in 20 of their last 60 games (-23.50 Units / -34% ROI)
  • The Washington Wizards have only hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 81 games (-18.45 Units / -20% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 50 games (-34.60 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the 3Q Spread in 29 of their last 81 games (-27.35 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 35 of their last 87 games (-24.72 Units / -25% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 88 games (-21.90 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have only covered the Spread in 20 of their last 55 games (-18.50 Units / -31% ROI)

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New Orleans Pelicans: Keys to the Game vs. the Washington Wizards

The Pelicans are 1-5 (.167) when allowing fewer than 10 second chance points this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .555

The Pelicans are 2-14 (.125) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .342

The Pelicans are 3-19 (.136) when losing the rebounding margin this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .396

The Pelicans are 1-14 (.067) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .281

Washington Wizards: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Pelicans

The Wizards were 3-40 (.070) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Wizards are 10-62 (.139) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .448

The Wizards are 9-50 (.153) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .449

The Wizards are 5-55 (.083) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .427

New Orleans Pelicans Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have made 11.4 three-pointers per game this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.5

The Pelicans shot 49% (3,484/7,164) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Pelicans have averaged 107.4 points per game (3,760 points/35 games) this season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.0

The Pelicans have an eFG% of 50% in the first half this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 54%

Washington Wizards Offensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards averaged 9.1 fast break points per game (748 points/82 games) in the second half last season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.8

The Wizards averaged 19.2 fast break points per game (788 points/41 games) on the road last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.0

The Wizards averaged 17.6 fast break points per game (1,442 points/82 games) last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 14.4

The Wizards averaged 28.4 points in the paint per game (2,330 points/82 games) in the second half last season — 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 24.6

New Orleans Pelicans Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pelicans have allowed opponents to shoot 34% from three (1,238/3,650) in the first half since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 37%

The Pelicans have averaged 32.1 defensive rebounds per game (1,124 rebounds/35 games) this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.5

The Pelicans have averaged 9.5 steals per game (334 steals/35 games) this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.4

The Pelicans stole the ball 684 times last season — 3rd most among NBA teams

Washington Wizards Defensive Stats & Trends

The Wizards allowed 17.5 second chance points per game (716 points/41 games) at home last season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6

The Wizards averaged 34.0 defensive rebounds per game (2,790 rebounds/82 games) last season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Wizards have allowed 17.2 second chance points per game (1,012 points/59 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.7

The Wizards have allowed 57.8 points in the paint per game (3,178 points/55 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 50.2


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