Pistons vs Grizzlies Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Nov. 27

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 27, 2024, 4:31 PM
  • The Grizzlies are -8.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5 points
  • Watch the game on FDDT | FDSM

The Detroit Pistons visit FedExForum to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EST in Memphis, TN.

The Grizzlies are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-115).

The Pistons vs Grizzlies Over/Under is 225.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 10-8 against the spread, while the Grizzlies are 12-6 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Grizzlies Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+7.5 -105O 225.5 -110+290
Memphis Grizzlies -7.5 -115U 225.5 -110-375

Grizzlies vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Grizzlies will win Wednesday‘s game with 80.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 67.8% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 35 of their last 49 games (+18.77 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 29 of their last 41 away games (+17.50 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 away games (+15.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 1Q Spread in 44 of their last 72 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1Q Spread in 45 of their last 64 games (+23.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 33 games (+13.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have covered the 1H Spread in 39 of their last 62 games (+12.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 49 of their last 84 games (+11.30 Units / 12% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 10-8 (+1.2 Units / 5.74% ROI).

  • 8-11 against the Moneyline (-2 Units / -8.85% ROI)
  • 7-11 against the Over for game total points (-5.1 Units / -24.4% ROI)
  • 11-7 against the Under for game total points (+3.3 Units / 15.79% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Grizzlies have gone 12-6 (+5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • 11-7 against the Moneyline (-2.75 Units / -7.87% ROI)
  • 12-6 against the Over for game total points (+5.4 Units / 27.27% ROI)
  • 6-12 against the Under for game total points (-7.2 Units / -36.36% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 33 of their last 84 games (-23.17 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 66 games (-19.62 Units / -26% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 27 of their last 70 games (-18.20 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 26 of their last 64 games (-16.45 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 24 of their last 58 games (-14.85 Units / -22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 22 of their last 66 games (-28.40 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 85 games (-26.80 Units / -29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 59 games (-19.70 Units / -30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 77 games (-18.77 Units / -21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 50 games (-16.65 Units / -29% ROI)

Jump to:

Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Memphis Grizzlies

The Pistons are 16-100 (.138) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .450

The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431

The Pistons are 7-40 (.149) when allowing 15 or more second chance points since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .447

The Pistons are 11-69 (.138) when scoring fewer second chance points than their opponent since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .443

Memphis Grizzlies: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Grizzlies are 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals since the start of the 2023-24 season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394

The Grizzlies are 5-30 (.143) when allowing their opponent to shoot 40% or better from three since the start of the 2023-24 season — tied for 5th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .315

The Grizzlies were 1-6 (.143) when forcing fewer than 5 steals last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .385

The Grizzlies are 9-27 (.250) when allowing 15 or more three-pointers since the start of the 2023-24 season — 9th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .354

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,536 assists/ 1,540 TOs) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons made 11.0 three-pointers per game last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (2,246 assists/ 1,366 TOs) at home since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons have made 11.2 three-pointers per game at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.1

Memphis Grizzlies Offensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies had an eFG% of 51% last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 55%

The Grizzlies shot 43% (3,145/7,230) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%

The Grizzlies had a TS% of 48% at home last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 52%

The Grizzlies are shooting 21% from three (9/42) in close and late situations this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35%

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons have averaged 6.4 steals per game (635 steals/100 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pistons have averaged 6.2 steals per game (300 steals/48 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.6

The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (104 steals/18 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.2

The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5

Memphis Grizzlies Defensive Stats & Trends

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.8 blocks per game (334 blocks/49 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.1 blocks per game (1,097 blocks/181 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9

The Grizzlies have averaged 6.0 blocks per game (541 blocks/90 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8

The Grizzlies forced 16.2 turnovers per game (663 turnovers/41 games) at home last season — best among NBA defenses; League Avg: 13.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.