Pistons vs Hawks Prediction, Odds, Best Bets & Team Props – NBA, Apr. 3

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 03, 2024, 4:30 PM
  • The Hawks are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
  • Total (Over/Under): 223.5 points
  • Watch the game on BSSE | BSDT

The Detroit Pistons visit State Farm Arena to take on the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

The Hawks are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-105).

The Pistons vs Hawks Over/Under is 224.5 total points for the game.

So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 36-36 against the spread, while the Hawks are 27-47 against the spread.


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Pistons vs. Hawks Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Detroit Pistons+12.5 -115O 224.5 -105+500
Atlanta Hawks -12.5 -105U 224.5 -115-700

Hawks vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:

The winning team model predicts the Hawks will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Hawks.

Hawks vs Pistons Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Pistons will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.5% confidence.


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  • The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 26 of their last 36 away games (+15.45 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+12.75 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 away games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 away games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+6.85 Units / 98% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 31 of their last 43 games at home (+17.25 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+14.10 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+13.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+12.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games at home (+9.95 Units / 82% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 36-36 (-3.6 Units / -4.42% ROI).

  • 13-61 against the Moneyline (-33.7 Units / -43.34% ROI)
  • 35-38 against the Over for game total points (-6.8 Units / -8.35% ROI)
  • 38-35 against the Under for game total points (-0.5 Units / -0.61% ROI)

Against the spread this NBA season, the Hawks have gone 27-47 (-24.7 Units / -30.34% ROI).

  • 34-40 against the Moneyline (-5.85 Units / -4.81% ROI)
  • 40-32 against the Over for game total points (+4.85 Units / 6.04% ROI)
  • 32-40 against the Under for game total points (-12 Units / -14.93% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 43 games at home (-24.10 Units / -48% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 43 games at home (-18.50 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 43 games at home (-17.90 Units / -38% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 18 of their last 42 games at home (-14.65 Units / -24% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Hawks have only covered the 3Q Spread in 11 of their last 35 games at home (-14.00 Units / -35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 34 away games (-20.40 Units / -60% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 37 away games (-14.80 Units / -40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 1 of their last 11 away games (-10.75 Units / -83% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 34 away games (-9.05 Units / -23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Game Total Over in 2 of their last 12 away games (-9.00 Units / -68% ROI)

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Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Hawks

The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460

The Pistons are 12-90 (.118) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .455

The Pistons are 5-71 (.066) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .363

The Pistons are 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .557

Atlanta Hawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons

The Hawks are winless (0-10) when shooting 40% or worse from the field since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .120

The Hawks are 10-1 (.909) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .820

The Hawks were 18-27 (.400) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 10th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .442

The Hawks were undefeated (19-0) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse last season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: .777

Injury Report: Hawks vs. PistonsWednesday‘s Game, Apr. 3

  • Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks): Toe, Out
  • Mouhamed Gueye (Atlanta Hawks): Back, Game Time Decision
  • Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
  • Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision

Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8

The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,796 assists/ 1,174 TOs) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.9

The Pistons shot 45% (3,244/7,140) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Pistons averaged 108.3 points per game (4,440 points/41 games) on the road last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4

Atlanta Hawks Offensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have made 13.8 three-pointers per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 12.8

The Hawks have 23.5 free throw attempts per game this season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 21.9

The Hawks shot 48% (3,658/7,574) last season — 9th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 48%

The Hawks have averaged 16.0 second chance points per game (591 points/37 games) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.6

Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends

The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.3 steals per game (470 steals/75 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

The Pistons have averaged 34.4 defensive rebounds per game (5,399 rebounds/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Pistons have averaged 6.6 steals per game (1,044 steals/157 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4

Atlanta Hawks Defensive Stats & Trends

The Hawks have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three (517/1,274) in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 36%

The Hawks have averaged 34.1 defensive rebounds per game (2,558 rebounds/75 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2

The Hawks have averaged 4.6 blocks per game (347 blocks/75 games) this season — 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1

The Hawks have allowed an eFG% of 59% in the second half this season — highest among NBA defenses; League Avg: 55%


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