- The – are favorites vs. the –
- Total (Over/Under): Total points
- Watch the game on FDDT | SUN | ESPN
The Detroit Pistons visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Wednesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL, USA.
The – are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at ().
The Pistons vs Heat Over/Under is total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 39-28 against the spread, while the Heat are 29-38 against the spread.
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Pistons vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Detroit Pistons | O | ||
| Miami Heat | U |
Heat vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Pistons will win Wednesday‘s game with 79.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Heat.
Heat vs Pistons Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Wednesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
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Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 away games (+20.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 28 away games (+17.30 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 37 away games (+16.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 38 of their last 58 games (+15.97 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 30 of their last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 27% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+11.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1H Moneyline in 19 of their last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 39-28 (+8.15 Units / 10.73% ROI).
- 38-31 against the Moneyline (+10 Units / 8.41% ROI)
- 33-34 against the Over for game total points (-4.4 Units / -5.8% ROI)
- 34-33 against the Under for game total points (-2.3 Units / -3.03% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 29-38 (-12.8 Units / -17.1% ROI).
- 29-39 against the Moneyline (-19.25 Units / -16.86% ROI)
- 35-33 against the Over for game total points (-1.3 Units / -1.74% ROI)
- 33-35 against the Under for game total points (-5.5 Units / -7.35% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 37 games (-22.60 Units / -40% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Moneyline in 15 of their last 47 games (-19.67 Units / -35% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 23 of their last 60 games (-19.28 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the 4Q Spread in 8 of their last 30 games (-16.60 Units / -47% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only covered the Spread in 30 of their last 73 games (-16.20 Units / -20% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 68 games (-24.95 Units / -32% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 62 games (-24.00 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 54 games (-20.65 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 56 games (-19.10 Units / -30% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 61 games (-18.15 Units / -26% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Miami Heat
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pistons were 4-31 (.114) when allowing 15 or more fastbreak points last season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .431
The Pistons were 4-21 (.160) when attempting 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .554
The Pistons were 2-38 (.050) when losing the rebounding margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .357
The Pistons were 3-36 (.077) when their opponent attempts 25 or more free throws last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .446
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Heat were 33-8 (.805) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 5th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .659
The Heat were 14-2 (.875) when assisting on 30 or more field goals last season — tied for 8th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .697
The Heat are 26-5 (.839) when shooting 50% or better from the field since the start of the 2023-24 season — 10th-best in the NBA. The Pistons have allowed opponents to shoot 48% since the start of the 2023-24 season — T-10th-worst in the NBA.
The Heat were 17-2 (.895) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 10th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .789
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 10.9 fast break points per game (752 points/69 games) in the first half this season — tied for best among NBA teams; League Avg: 8.0
The Pistons have averaged 19.9 fast break points per game (696 points/35 games) on the road this season — best among NBA teams; League Avg: 15.3
The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.6 (1,073 assists/ 665 TOs) in the first half last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
The Pistons averaged 1.25 points per shot (9,010 points/7,236 shots) last season — tied for 7th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.28
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 11.5 second chance points per game (943 points/82 games) last season — 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.8
The Heat have averaged 52.9 points per game (7,935 points/150 games) in the second half since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 56.4
The Heat have averaged 1.21 points per shot (1,023 points/848 shots) in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.30
The Heat have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game (874 points/77 games) on the road since the start of the 2023-24 season — 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 13.7
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons averaged 6.5 steals per game (531 steals/82 games) last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.5
The Pistons have averaged 36.3 defensive rebounds per game (2,505 rebounds/69 games) this season — tied for 7th best among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.4
The Pistons have blocked 359 shots this season — 10th most among NBA teams
The Pistons have averaged 7.2 steals per game (1,094 steals/151 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.8
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat averaged 3.4 blocks per game (280 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
The Heat have averaged 3.8 blocks per game (257 blocks/68 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.0
The Heat have averaged 3.4 blocks per game (251 blocks/73 games) at home since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat have averaged 3.6 blocks per game (537 blocks/150 games) since the start of the 2023-24 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.1
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