- The Heat are -11.5 favorites vs. the Pistons
- Total (Over/Under): 217.5 points
- Watch the game on BSDT | SUN
The Detroit Pistons visit Kaseya Center to take on the Miami Heat on Tuesday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST in Miami, FL.
The Heat are betting favorites in this NBA matchup, with the spread sitting at -11.5 (-110).
The Pistons vs Heat Over/Under is 217.5 total points for the game.
So far this NBA season, the Pistons are 29-30 against the spread, while the Heat are 31-29 against the spread.
Bet now on Heat vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM
Pistons vs. Heat Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Detroit Pistons | +11.5 -110 | O 217.5 -115 | +475 |
Miami Heat | -11.5 -110 | U 217.5 -105 | -650 |
Heat vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight’s Game:
The winning team model predicts the Heat will win Tuesday‘s game with 88.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, player injuries, key player performances and recent matchups for both Pistons and Heat.
Heat vs Pistons Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread (ATS) trends, the model predicts the Heat will cover the spread for Tuesday‘s game with 51.0% confidence.
Bet now on Heat vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM
Pistons Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 2Q Game Total Under in 46 of their last 74 games (+15.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have covered the 4Q Spread in 22 of their last 31 away games (+13.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 away games (+11.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 35 of their last 58 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.60 Units / 48% ROI)
Heat Best Bets for Tonight:
- The Miami Heat have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 90 games (+26.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 69 games (+18.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 24 of their last 30 games (+17.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have covered the 1Q Spread in 56 of their last 93 games (+16.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 47 of their last 84 games (+16.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Detroit Pistons Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Pistons have gone 29-30 (-4 Units / -6.06% ROI).
- 9-51 against the Moneyline (-28.35 Units / -45.54% ROI)
- 30-29 against the Over for game total points (-1.9 Units / -2.88% ROI)
- 29-30 against the Under for game total points (-4 Units / -6.06% ROI)
Miami Heat Against the Spread (ATS) Record This Season:
Against the spread this NBA season, the Heat have gone 31-29 (-0.8 Units / -1.21% ROI).
- 34-26 against the Moneyline (+4.5 Units / 4.54% ROI)
- 23-37 against the Over for game total points (-17.7 Units / -26.82% ROI)
- 37-23 against the Under for game total points (+11.7 Units / 17.73% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Heat:
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 34 of their last 92 games (-26.05 Units / -26% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 69 games (-25.50 Units / -34% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-23.35 Units / -28% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 42 of their last 100 games (-22.10 Units / -20% ROI)
- The Miami Heat have only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 71 games (-16.90 Units / -22% ROI)
Negative Value Bets Against the Spread for the Pistons:
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 78 games (-40.75 Units / -51% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 29 of their last 76 games (-22.70 Units / -27% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 22 of their last 78 games (-19.20 Units / -24% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 2Q Moneyline in 21 of their last 71 games (-16.90 Units / -23% ROI)
- The Detroit Pistons have only hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 65 games (-16.20 Units / -24% ROI)
Jump to:
- Keys to Winning for the Detroit Pistons
- Keys to Winning for the Miami Heat
- Player Injuries for Detroit Pistons vs. Miami Heat
- Detroit Pistons Offensive stats
- Miami Heat Offensive stats
- Detroit Pistons Defensive stats
- Miami Heat Defensive stats
Detroit Pistons: Keys to the Game vs. the Miami Heat
The Pistons were 4-44 (.083) when they lose the turnover margin last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .460
The Pistons are winless (0-23) when losing the rebounding margin this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .353
The Pistons are 9-79 (.102) when they lose the turnover margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .459
The Pistons are 4-62 (.061) when losing the rebounding margin since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .361
Miami Heat: Keys to the Game vs. the Detroit Pistons
The Heat are winless (0-3) when shooting 70% or worse from the free throw line this season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .394
The Heat were 34-10 (.773) when scoring 110 or more points last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .643
The Heat were 17-3 (.850) when shooting 50% or better from the field last season — 6th best among NBA teams; League Avg: .733
The Heat are 6-7 (.462) when scoring 15 or more second chance points this season — tied for 8th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: .560
Injury Report: Heat vs. Pistons – Tuesday‘s Game, Mar. 5
- Tyler Herro (Miami Heat): Knee, Game Time Decision
- Thomas Bryant (Miami Heat): Not Injury Related, Game Time Decision
- Josh Richardson (Miami Heat): Shoulder, Out
- Dru Smith (Miami Heat): Knee, Out For Season
- Orlando Robinson (Miami Heat): Back, Out
- Terry Rozier (Miami Heat): Knee, Out
- Isaiah Stewart (Detroit Pistons): Suspension, Out
- Quentin Grimes (Detroit Pistons): Knee, Game Time Decision
Detroit Pistons Offensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.4 (886 assists/ 615 TOs) on the road last season — tied for lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Pistons had an assist to turnover ratio of 1.5 (1,884 assists/ 1,237 TOs) last season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 1.8
The Pistons averaged 21.6 assists per game (886 assists/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 25.0
The Pistons have an assist to turnover ratio of 1.7 (1,374 assists/ 806 TOs) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 2.0
Miami Heat Offensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 107.5 points per game (7,092 points/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.8
The Heat are shooting 45% (2,537/5,644) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 47%
The Heat have averaged 5.3 fast break points per game (716 points/135 games) in the second half since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 6.6
The Heat averaged 107.5 points per game (4,408 points/41 games) on the road last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 113.4
Detroit Pistons Defensive Stats & Trends
The Pistons have averaged 5.8 steals per game (303 steals/52 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.4
The Pistons averaged 3.8 blocks per game (308 blocks/82 games) last season — 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
The Pistons averaged 33.6 defensive rebounds per game (2,756 rebounds/82 games) last season — 6th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 35.2
The Pistons have averaged 6.5 steals per game (877 steals/134 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — tied for 4th lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 7.3
Miami Heat Defensive Stats & Trends
The Heat have averaged 3.1 blocks per game (412 blocks/135 games) since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.9
The Heat have averaged 3.0 blocks per game (201 blocks/66 games) on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.8
The Heat have averaged 3.2 blocks per game (169 blocks/53 games) this season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 5.2
The Heat averaged 3.0 blocks per game (243 blocks/82 games) last season — lowest among NBA teams; League Avg: 4.7
Bet now on Heat vs Pistons and all NBA games with BetMGM
Bet on NBA Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NBA betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.